Market · 8 of 16 outcomes
Will María Jesús Montero be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:23 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb5f9…f192 | No | 120 | 98.1¢ | $120 | — |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 17,794 | 1.7¢ | $9 | Positive+$7.81 per $100 · 18,732 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 11,434 | 1.7¢ | $6 | Positive+$5.58 per $100 · 87,117 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 11,005 | 1.7¢ | $6 | Positive+$2.37 per $100 · 57,731+ bets · updating |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 10,903 | 1.7¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,791 bets |
| PiEDawg0xcf43…b321 | Yes | 7,343 | 1.7¢ | $4 | Positive+$9.32 per $100 · 7,905 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
4 more outcomes in this event.
These 16 outcomes add up to 101.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.