Market · 7 of 16 outcomes
Will María Jesús Montero be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 21:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb5f9…f192 | No | 120 | 98.1¢ | $120 | — |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 17,794 | 1.7¢ | $9 | Positive+$8.01 per $100 · 18,911 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 11,434 | 1.7¢ | $6 | Positive+$5.59 per $100 · 87,526 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 11,005 | 1.7¢ | $6 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,777 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 10,903 | 1.7¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,500 bets |
| PiEDawg0xcf43…b321 | Yes | 7,343 | 1.7¢ | $4 | Positive+$9.20 per $100 · 7,924 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 7,259 | 1.7¢ | $4 | Positive+$3.92 per $100 · 158,667+ bets · updating |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 6,577 | 1.7¢ | $3 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,980 bets |
| MKSafe0xb416…dd7b | Yes | 6,522 | 1.7¢ | $3 | New47 settled bets |
| alex200110x4868…a1c1 | Yes | 5,960 | 1.7¢ | $3 | Positive+$7.17 per $100 · 20,636 bets |
| VerilyWinningly0x6276…9db5 | Yes | 5,343 | 1.7¢ | $3 | Positive+$27.82 per $100 · 1,250 bets |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 4,870 | 1.7¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.67 per $100 · 14,801 bets |
| 0x9495…468f | Yes | 4,431 | 1.7¢ | $2 | Losing−$4.14 per $100 · 12,901 bets |
| gesst0xadaf…f9f2 | Yes | 4,200 | 1.7¢ | $2 | Proven+$17.17 per $100 · 568 bets |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 3,965 | 1.7¢ | $2 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,469 bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 3,700 | 0.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 2,712 | 1.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.70 per $100 · 57,497+ bets · updating |
| SpringlyFawl0xfbed…a665 | Yes | 2,298 | 1.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$11.02 per $100 · 11,252 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 2,135 | 1.3¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| Crypto-Well0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | 1,675 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$39.17 per $100 · 1,741 bets |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | Yes | 1,254 | 1.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 22,277 bets |
| 0xf465…a66b | Yes | 1,200 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 1,161 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| Anne6660x0873…09e8 | Yes | 1,111 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$60.07 per $100 · 7,844 bets |
| Edje250x6268…6031 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$30.90 per $100 · 1,836 bets |
| xispa0x7c68…f2a8 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| fourcoin15m0x0629…501d | Yes | 929 | 1.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$11.08 per $100 · 21,166 bets |
| violettakafourides0xd6bf…c7ac | Yes | 885 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | Yes | 860 | 1.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.68 per $100 · 41,055+ bets · updating |
| 0xd32c…a4c2 | Yes | 853 | 1.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.64 per $100 · 3,807 bets |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | Yes | 835 | 1.7¢ | $0 | — |
| SPLPB0xdf0e…c02b | Yes | 797 | 1.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.91 per $100 · 5,696 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 680 | 1.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,166 bets |
| merod0x8373…f0bc | Yes | 575 | 1.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.70 per $100 · 17,596 bets |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 538 | 1.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.13 per $100 · 58,633+ bets · updating |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 520 | 1.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.73 per $100 · 43,120 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 353 | 1.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 289 | 6.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,298 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 261 | 1.7¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,303 bets |
| haveagoodday0xae2a…384d | Yes | 230 | 1.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.93 per $100 · 12,423 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 201 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.10 per $100 · 22,268 bets |
| god837438940xe040…824f | Yes | 135 | 1.7¢ | $0 | — |
| vamosgaming0x6cff…a463 | Yes | 125 | 1.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 119 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,067 bets |
| 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 100 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| 0xc29e…3068 | Yes | 83 | 1.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Milin-dc0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | 50 | 1.7¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.55 per $100 · 1,651 bets |
| TheGreatBeta0xf322…ebf9 | Yes | 50 | 0.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 6 | 1.7¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.