Market · 10 of 16 outcomes
Will Aitor Esteban be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:20 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 17,804 | 1.7¢ | $9 | Positive+$7.92 per $100 · 18,788 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 11,446 | 1.7¢ | $6 | Positive+$5.59 per $100 · 87,228 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 11,005 | 1.7¢ | $6 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,011 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 10,963 | 1.7¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,170 bets |
| PiEDawg0xcf43…b321 | Yes | 7,343 | 1.7¢ | $4 | Positive+$9.20 per $100 · 7,924 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 7,259 | 1.7¢ | $4 | Positive+$8.83 per $100 · 36,123+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
4 more outcomes in this event.