Market · 9 of 16 outcomes
Will Aitor Esteban be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:14 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 17,804 | 1.7¢ | $9 | Positive+$7.96 per $100 · 18,815 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 11,446 | 1.7¢ | $6 | Positive+$5.61 per $100 · 87,306 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 11,005 | 1.7¢ | $6 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,224 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 10,963 | 1.7¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,406 bets |
| PiEDawg0xcf43…b321 | Yes | 7,343 | 1.7¢ | $4 | Positive+$9.20 per $100 · 7,924 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 7,259 | 1.7¢ | $4 | Positive+$6.53 per $100 · 69,370+ bets · updating |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 6,617 | 1.7¢ | $3 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,620 bets |
| MKSafe0xb416…dd7b | Yes | 6,522 | 1.7¢ | $3 | New45 settled bets |
| alex200110x4868…a1c1 | Yes | 5,960 | 1.7¢ | $3 | Positive+$7.24 per $100 · 20,564 bets |
| VerilyWinningly0x6276…9db5 | Yes | 5,343 | 1.7¢ | $3 | Positive+$27.82 per $100 · 1,250 bets |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 4,458 | 1.7¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.65 per $100 · 14,566 bets |
| 0x9495…468f | Yes | 4,431 | 1.7¢ | $2 | Losing−$4.13 per $100 · 12,745 bets |
| gesst0xadaf…f9f2 | Yes | 4,200 | 1.7¢ | $2 | Proven+$17.17 per $100 · 566 bets |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 3,965 | 1.7¢ | $2 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,469 bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 3,700 | 0.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$43.18 per $100 · 2,767 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 2,987 | 1.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.68 per $100 · 56,784 bets |
| vvv70x53c6…62e0 | Yes | 2,927 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 2,690 | 1.4¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| SpringlyFawl0xfbed…a665 | Yes | 2,298 | 1.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$10.52 per $100 · 10,908 bets |
| Anne6660x0873…09e8 | Yes | 1,923 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$60.11 per $100 · 7,837 bets |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | Yes | 1,254 | 1.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.47 per $100 · 22,145 bets |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 1,161 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.37 per $100 · 13,129 bets |
| fourcoin15m0x0629…501d | Yes | 929 | 1.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$10.62 per $100 · 20,256 bets |
| 0xd32c…a4c2 | Yes | 903 | 1.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.63 per $100 · 3,766 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 892 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | Yes | 860 | 1.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.68 per $100 · 41,055+ bets · updating |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | Yes | 835 | 1.7¢ | $0 | — |
| SPLPB0xdf0e…c02b | Yes | 797 | 1.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.97 per $100 · 5,635 bets |
| Crypto-Well0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | 660 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$39.16 per $100 · 1,739 bets |
| merod0x8373…f0bc | Yes | 575 | 1.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.62 per $100 · 17,356 bets |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 538 | 1.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.14 per $100 · 30,125+ bets · updating |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 520 | 1.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 42,898 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 409 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 380 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,685 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 287 | 5.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 123,278+ bets · updating |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 261 | 1.7¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| haveagoodday0xae2a…384d | Yes | 230 | 1.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 12,103 bets |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.10 per $100 · 22,268 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 143 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| god837438940xe040…824f | Yes | 135 | 1.7¢ | $0 | — |
| vamosgaming0x6cff…a463 | Yes | 125 | 1.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 119 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.43 per $100 · 26,254 bets |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 100 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| 0xc29e…3068 | Yes | 83 | 1.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Milin-dc0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | 50 | 1.7¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.55 per $100 · 1,651 bets |
| TheGreatBeta0xf322…ebf9 | Yes | 50 | 0.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 42 | 4.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 23 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 6 | 1.7¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.