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Every live Polymarket market, with its chance, the money on it and who's betting. Open one to see who's on each side, which way the money is moving and the rules.
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Every live Polymarket market, with its chance, the money on it and who's betting. Open one to see who's on each side, which way the money is moving and the rules.
| Market | Chance | Today | This week | Bet today | Room to trade | Ends | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?Geopolitics · US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? |
Live Polymarket data, read Oct 11, 2026, 20:05 UTC. Polyray is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket. Not financial advice.
| 97% |
| +1.8 pts |
| +6 pts |
| $343K |
| $184K |
| 10/13 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Geopolitics · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? | 95% | +1.1 pts | — | $216K | $72.2K | 10/16 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Geopolitics | 17% | — | +1.0 pts | $200K | $694K | 01/01 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Geopolitics · US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? | 79% | +1.0 pts | +7 pts | $177K | $459K | 10/31 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Geopolitics · US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? | 4% | −0.4 pts | −8 pts | $145K | $229K | 10/16 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Geopolitics · US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? | 14% | — | −7 pts | $116K | $166K | 11/01 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Geopolitics | 14% | −3 pts | −4 pts | $114K | $554K | 01/01 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Geopolitics · NATO x Russia military clash by...? | 7% | −2 pts | −2 pts | $113K | $145K | 11/01 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Geopolitics · US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? | 93% | +2 pts | +7 pts | $107K | $252K | 10/16 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Geopolitics | 6% | +1.0 pts | −1.0 pts | $107K | $743K | 01/01 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Geopolitics | 1% | −0.1 pts | −2 pts | $107K | $304K | 11/01 |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Geopolitics | 43% | −23 pts | — | $83.9K | $11.3K | 11/01 |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?Geopolitics · US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...? | 92% | — | — | $68.8K | $303K | 10/15 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Geopolitics · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? | 5% | +0.8 pts | +0.3 pts | $54.9K | $106K | 11/01 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Geopolitics | 2% | −0.1 pts | −0.3 pts | $47.4K | $626K | 01/01 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Geopolitics · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? | 86% | +0.5 pts | +2 pts | $45.7K | $98.2K | 10/31 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Geopolitics | 7% | −1.0 pts | +1.5 pts | $41.2K | $133K | 01/01 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics · Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...? | 12% | +3 pts | +1.0 pts | $36.5K | $131K | 12/31 |
| Will Putin hold a bilateral meeting with Ilham Aliyev in Turkmenistan?Geopolitics · Who will Putin meet bilaterally in Turkmenistan? | 24% | −15 pts | — | $35.5K | $58 | 10/11 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Geopolitics · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? | 7% | +0.5 pts | −2 pts | $34.1K | $215K | 11/01 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Geopolitics | 7% | −1.0 pts | −3 pts | $29.7K | $287K | 12/01 |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?Geopolitics · US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...? | 97% | — | — | $28.4K | $189K | 10/12 |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?Geopolitics · Will Ukraine target Moscow on...? | 50% | +3 pts | +0.5 pts | $28K | $212 | 10/21 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics · Putin out as President of Russia by...? | 3% | — | +0.5 pts | $27.7K | $650K | 01/01 |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?Geopolitics · Saudi airspace closed by...? | 9% | +5 pts | +4 pts | $26.6K | $23.7K | 11/01 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Geopolitics · Crude Oil all time high by...? | 11% | +1.0 pts | — | $26.5K | $139K | 01/01 |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Geopolitics · Iran full airspace closure by...? | 30% | +7 pts | +12 pts | $25.6K | $29.7K | 01/01 |
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?Geopolitics · Iran full airspace closure by...? | 9% | +2 pts | +1.0 pts | $25.1K | $12.8K | 11/01 |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Geopolitics · US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...? | 77% | −4 pts | −12 pts | $24K | $47.5K | 10/31 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Geopolitics · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? | 16% | — | −2 pts | $23K | $320K | 01/01 |
Chance is the Yes price: 62¢ means a 62% chance. Changes are in percentage points. Room to trade is how much you can buy or sell near today's price.