Ilham Aliyev

Decided by

The market resolves "Yes" if Putin holds a bilateral meeting with the listed individual in Turkmenistan from market creation to October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.§1

What counts as bilateral

A bilateral meeting is between Putin and the listed individual, with or without delegations, held separately from summit sessions and other group events.§4

Officially called bilateral

Meetings described by official sources or credible reporting as bilateral talks, one-on-one or tête-à-tête, or on the sidelines qualify.§5

Group events excluded

Brief exchanges, handshakes, informal conversations, joint appearances at ceremonies, receptions, dinners or group events, and trilateral or multilateral…§6

Calls excluded

Phone or video calls will not qualify.§7

Counted

A qualifying bilateral meeting: one between Putin and the listed individual, with or without their delegations.§4

Source

Official information from the Kremlin and the governments of the listed individuals; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.§8

Closes

Oct 11, 2026 · 03:59 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.

• Kassym-Jomart Tokayev 22.0¢
• Ilham Aliyev 18.5¢
• Sadyr Japarov 18.0¢
• Shavkat Mirziyoyev 6.5¢
• Alexander Lukashenko 2.3¢

Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.