Alexander Lukashenko

Decided by

Yes if Putin holds a bilateral meeting with the listed individual in Turkmenistan between market creation and October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.§1

What counts as bilateral

A meeting between Putin and the listed individual, with or without delegations, held separately from summit sessions and other group events.§4

Qualifying descriptions

Meetings described by official sources or credible reporting as bilateral talks, one-on-one, tête-à-tête, or on the sidelines qualify.§5

Not qualifying

Brief exchanges, handshakes, informal talks during group sessions, joint ceremony, reception or dinner appearances, and trilateral or multilateral meetings do…§6

Calls excluded

Phone or video calls will not qualify.§7

Counted

A bilateral meeting between Putin and the listed individual held in Turkmenistan within the stated period.§1

Source

Official information from the Kremlin and the governments of the listed individuals; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.§8

Closes

Oct 11, 2026 · 03:59 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.

Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.

• Kassym-Jomart Tokayev 22.5¢
• Sadyr Japarov 18.0¢
• Ilham Aliyev 16.5¢
• Shavkat Mirziyoyev 7.0¢
• Alexander Lukashenko 2.3¢