Market · 3 of 3 outcomes
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 13:05 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
11 proven traders are on Yes, 8 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LulaVaiPerder0x7f9e…3a0e | Yes | 8,454 | 77.6¢ | $6.72K | Proven+$9.82 per $100 · 435 bets |
| M2sx92kljs420xb4f2…e5fa | Yes | 7,000 | 79.7¢ | $5.57K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Renan20300x88c4…129a | Yes | 4,863 | 80.6¢ | $3.87K | Proven+$11.66 per $100 · 471 bets |
| 0x7678…22a3 | Yes | 2,129 | 74.7¢ | $1.69K | Proven+$10.57 per $100 · 122 bets |
| Wowiwow0xe54b…aa14 | Yes | 1,912 | 88.3¢ | $1.52K | — |
| MrNoItAll0x836f…906e | Yes | 1,521 | 85.9¢ | $1.21K | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 499 bets |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 55 shares each side · Show
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