Market · 3 of 3 outcomes
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 18:31 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
11 proven traders are on Yes, 9 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LulaVaiPerder0x7f9e…3a0e | Yes | 8,454 | 77.6¢ | $6.72K | Proven+$9.82 per $100 · 435 bets |
| M2sx92kljs420xb4f2…e5fa | Yes | 7,000 | 79.7¢ | $5.57K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Renan20300x88c4…129a | Yes | 4,863 | 80.6¢ | $3.87K | Proven+$11.66 per $100 · 472 bets |
| 0x7678…22a3 | Yes | 2,129 | 74.7¢ | $1.69K | Proven+$10.57 per $100 · 122 bets |
| Wowiwow0xe54b…aa14 | Yes | 1,912 | 88.3¢ | $1.52K | — |
| MrNoItAll0x836f…906e | Yes | 1,521 | 85.9¢ | $1.21K | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 499 bets |
| 0xd640…480c | No | 5,261 | 20.7¢ | $1.08K | Losing−$32.74 per $100 · 775 bets |
| AiBird0xa58d…b9b8 | No | 5,198 | 22.9¢ | $1.07K | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 14,399 bets |
| eCash0x62cf…5826 | No | 5,000 | 19.8¢ | $1.02K | Proven+$6.07 per $100 · 625 bets |
| MEPP0x6d9f…9790 | Yes | 1,029 | 71.0¢ | $818 | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 1,289 bets |
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | Yes | 1,000 | 79.0¢ | $795 | Proven+$3.46 per $100 · 1,714 bets |
| BwTrump0x01d1…12a4 | No | 3,350 | 20.0¢ | $687 | Proven+$21.35 per $100 · 133 bets |
| nonkenny900x5cd5…ac33 | Yes | 834 | 87.0¢ | $663 | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 8,971 bets |
| StarMaster0xeca0…e8f8 | Yes | 750 | 80.4¢ | $596 | Proven+$2.31 per $100 · 4,789 bets |
| GOLADS960x894d…04e2 | Yes | 676 | 86.0¢ | $537 | New56 settled bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | Yes | 500 | 79.0¢ | $398 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,694 bets |
| MMIWW0xb0ba…b3f9 | Yes | 474 | 79.5¢ | $377 | — |
| pieped0xf440…b009 | No | 1,778 | 20.4¢ | $365 | Break-even−$0.12 per $100 · 179 bets |
| Croesus10x69b9…1284 | Yes | 400 | 79.3¢ | $318 | — |
| compute0xd0d9…d6db | No | 1,328 | 21.0¢ | $272 | Positive+$5.67 per $100 · 360 bets |
| Porx0xa0bc…d428 | No | 1,311 | 19.9¢ | $269 | Proven+$7.58 per $100 · 3,059 bets |
| Umaroth0xefde…783d | No | 1,304 | 20.0¢ | $267 | Break-even+$0.51 per $100 · 4,270 bets |
| VFALL0xe5dc…35f9 | Yes | 333 | 78.0¢ | $265 | — |
| paddaa0x60a9…5a71 | No | 1,234 | 16.2¢ | $253 | Proven+$5.21 per $100 · 2,232 bets |
| 0xff1e…5e2d | No | 1,083 | 11.5¢ | $222 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 639 bets |
| Malganis0x4bf4…7021 | Yes | 274 | 83.0¢ | $218 | Break-even+$0.33 per $100 · 3,303 bets |
| 0xce83…5b97 | Yes | 260 | 77.0¢ | $206 | Proven+$7.79 per $100 · 495 bets |
| LehmanBrother2.00x5fbf…8925 | No | 940 | 21.3¢ | $193 | New12 settled bets |
| meagainsttheworld0x9592…a7b8 | No | 900 | 15.9¢ | $185 | Proven+$8.59 per $100 · 1,238 bets |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | No | 811 | 20.7¢ | $166 | Positive+$7.23 per $100 · 10,676 bets |
| Beyonddream0xb24c…eefe | Yes | 200 | 79.0¢ | $159 | Break-even−$0.68 per $100 · 503 bets |
| enrico-vasaio0xcc79…1c2a | Yes | 200 | 77.0¢ | $159 | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,143 bets |
| 0x5449…992b | Yes | 182 | 77.9¢ | $144 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,720 bets |
| 0x8c94…2e06 | Yes | 168 | 80.4¢ | $134 | — |
| G.laila0xa092…11e3 | Yes | 163 | 79.0¢ | $130 | Break-even+$0.68 per $100 · 414 bets |
| 0x9178…a2b2 | No | 600 | 21.0¢ | $123 | Proven+$6.27 per $100 · 2,206 bets |
| Dapsy0x73d2…f9b7 | Yes | 150 | 77.0¢ | $119 | — |
| 0x36c9…3039 | Yes | 150 | 80.0¢ | $119 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 138 | 79.7¢ | $110 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| cabbag0x2af1…d858 | Yes | 137 | 84.9¢ | $109 | Break-even+$0.86 per $100 · 274 bets |
| iuH1398SI0x44b7…2e99 | Yes | 130 | 76.4¢ | $104 | Losing−$4.94 per $100 · 743 bets |
| SaturnStormCube0xad52…11ac | No | 500 | 23.6¢ | $103 | Proven+$5.83 per $100 · 3,598 bets |
| beast12340xc21c…2c78 | No | 500 | 24.0¢ | $103 | — |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 127 | 78.0¢ | $101 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| cooljit0xa917…4e8d | Yes | 126 | 77.0¢ | $100 | — |
| basmati0x184f…e0b2 | No | 476 | 21.0¢ | $98 | Losing−$34.22 per $100 · 102 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 102 | 78.9¢ | $81 | Losing−$2.57 per $100 · 124,099+ bets · updating |
| 0x7faa…994e | Yes | 100 | 83.0¢ | $80 | — |
| VechnoMolodoyy0xa3f6…1326 | Yes | 100 | 78.0¢ | $80 | — |
| noib0x187f…5fee | No | 384 | 12.7¢ | $79 | Positive+$5.43 per $100 · 215 bets |
| 0x2423…5867 | Yes | 91 | 85.0¢ | $72 | — |
| enri.hl0xa91e…09e0 | No | 336 | 21.0¢ | $69 | Break-even+$0.43 per $100 · 136 bets |
| 0x7500…567f | No | 312 | 22.9¢ | $64 | Positive+$6.73 per $100 · 1,735 bets |
| SuSuDORIS0xfadb…5645 | No | 300 | 21.0¢ | $62 | — |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | Yes | 67 | 88.2¢ | $53 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| cr70xa28e…b220 | No | 250 | 16.0¢ | $51 | — |
| vravroum0xe434…efb0 | Yes | 64 | 78.6¢ | $51 | — |
| Relaccsed0xa6b7…d5f3 | No | 242 | 23.0¢ | $50 | — |
| smartpreset0x1680…490d | Yes | 53 | 78.1¢ | $42 | Losing−$6.09 per $100 · 983 bets |
| MoffGonsular0x183d…45cb | Yes | 51 | 68.0¢ | $41 | New1 settled bet |
| F00Fi0x12ce…928f | Yes | 51 | 79.0¢ | $40 | Proven+$4.94 per $100 · 254 bets |
| bl4ckvoya10x0fa6…2663 | Yes | 50 | 77.0¢ | $40 | — |
| Ko-san-1230x8792…4174 | Yes | 50 | 83.0¢ | $40 | Proven+$7.12 per $100 · 818 bets |
| Delta-Flow-820xff9d…362d | Yes | 50 | 78.0¢ | $40 | — |
| 0x5d39…52ed | No | 189 | 15.8¢ | $39 | — |
| Zelenearn00xb04a…acfc | No | 187 | 19.7¢ | $38 | — |
| hping020x9e25…afd6 | Yes | 47 | 82.0¢ | $37 | — |
| 0x05fc…7ada | Yes | 44 | 80.0¢ | $35 | — |
| garbagefriends0xc5bd…ceaa | Yes | 40 | 76.7¢ | $32 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 1,711 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 152 | 21.5¢ | $31 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| omsode0x82bd…335e | No | 150 | 25.3¢ | $31 | Losing−$1.89 per $100 · 146 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 39 | 78.5¢ | $31 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| altar070x7028…e0e9 | Yes | 37 | 77.7¢ | $30 | Losing−$5.28 per $100 · 1,123 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 30 | 83.3¢ | $24 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,059 bets |
| Diplopia20x272c…7f07 | No | 109 | 21.0¢ | $22 | Positive+$1.24 per $100 · 811 bets |
| 0x3929…0f19 | No | 100 | 20.0¢ | $21 | — |
| goldfinch-cz0xd7a4…8229 | No | 100 | 20.0¢ | $21 | — |
| asd560xda65…e87e | No | 100 | 25.0¢ | $21 | — |
| globa-trade0xac53…b79d | No | 95 | 20.0¢ | $20 | — |
| bnetopt0xf18f…294c | No | 89 | 15.7¢ | $18 | Losing−$21.26 per $100 · 431 bets |
| Winna240x8c36…2a6a | No | 83 | 24.0¢ | $17 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 76 | 21.0¢ | $16 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| 0opj4kuu4xb20x3500…07f0 | No | 65 | 22.2¢ | $13 | Losing−$12.60 per $100 · 4,915 bets |
| bakayo33 - 99340x343d…cd2e | No | 60 | 14.0¢ | $12 | Positive+$2.02 per $100 · 982 bets |
| IFZ0x4351…9060 | No | 50 | 23.0¢ | $10 | — |
| Wiggly0x3a67…6095 | No | 45 | 20.0¢ | $9 | Break-even−$0.54 per $100 · 889 bets |
| 0xff7c…b233 | No | 44 | 15.9¢ | $9 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| televisionloud0x6c1c…1ac2 | No | 40 | 21.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 1,838 bets |
| HosoTrader0x5ad9…f29d | No | 40 | 60.0¢ | $8 | — |
| S8880x0711…f03c | No | 37 | 11.0¢ | $8 | Proven+$9.11 per $100 · 9,042 bets |
| 0x785b…5c65 | No | 36 | 24.0¢ | $7 | — |
| walkwithyourboy0xbc1f…8f78 | No | 31 | 32.0¢ | $6 | — |
| rocky420250x8929…733e | No | 30 | 24.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | No | 30 | 37.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$7.33 per $100 · 5,354 bets |
| Itvpo0x0e47…5492 | Yes | 2 | 80.7¢ | $2 | New16 settled bets |
| zxcursed1210x945a…a48c | No | 1 | 25.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.77 per $100 · 77,753+ bets · updating |
1 account bets both sides equally · 35 shares each side · Show
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