Market · 1 of 3 outcomes
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:54 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| laureman0x1359…092e | Yes | 5,213 | 96.5¢ | $5.04K | Positive+$1.13 per $100 · 112 bets |
| 1nvoker10x748a…3c56 | Yes | 3,000 | 96.7¢ | $2.9K | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | 2,367 | 96.0¢ | $2.29K | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,254 bets |
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | Yes | 1,000 | 96.0¢ | $967 | Proven+$3.46 per $100 · 1,712 bets |
| Wowiwow0xe54b…aa14 | Yes | 970 | 95.0¢ | $938 | — |
| SquirrelTheMerchant0xfb59…83f9 | Yes | 546 | 96.0¢ | $527 | Proven+$19.44 per $100 · 263 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 30 shares each side · Show
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