Market · 1 of 3 outcomes
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:49 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lolakis0x401e…6fc9 | Yes | 7,209 | 97.3¢ | $7.03K | Positive+$1.42 per $100 · 2,251 bets |
| MisTKy0x35bb…009b | Yes | 5,000 | 97.5¢ | $4.87K | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| pilipro30x33e2…3a1b | Yes | 4,300 | 97.4¢ | $4.19K | Positive+$1.74 per $100 · 1,022 bets |
| Newshound0x5e73…6697 | Yes | 3,866 | 97.4¢ | $3.77K | Proven+$5.54 per $100 · 1,941 bets |
| Rex4160x9a3f…914a | Yes | 2,500 | 97.4¢ | $2.44K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 6,881 bets |
| tennisclub0x479d…d469 | Yes | 2,446 | 96.9¢ | $2.38K | New40 settled bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | 2,228 | 96.0¢ | $2.17K | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,264 bets |
| tr10000x8a8b…375c | Yes | 2,176 | 96.4¢ | $2.12K | Losing−$2.06 per $100 · 6,303 bets |
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | Yes | 1,000 | 96.0¢ | $975 | Proven+$3.46 per $100 · 1,713 bets |
| Wowiwow0xe54b…aa14 | Yes | 970 | 95.0¢ | $945 | — |
| nonkenny900x5cd5…ac33 | Yes | 899 | 96.8¢ | $876 | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 8,963 bets |
| classified0x12d6…f2a8 | Yes | 700 | 96.7¢ | $682 | Positive+$3.90 per $100 · 1,966 bets |
| justme0030xcb89…a2e8 | Yes | 655 | 96.5¢ | $639 | Losing−$1.29 per $100 · 343 bets |
| SquirrelTheMerchant0xfb59…83f9 | Yes | 546 | 96.0¢ | $532 | Proven+$19.44 per $100 · 263 bets |
| 05610x6e9a…f3bb | Yes | 500 | 97.5¢ | $487 | — |
| SakuraDevil0x0c3c…5eea | Yes | 400 | 97.3¢ | $390 | — |
| VFALL0xe5dc…35f9 | Yes | 315 | 97.2¢ | $307 | — |
| SaturnStormCube0xad52…11ac | Yes | 300 | 97.2¢ | $292 | Proven+$5.83 per $100 · 3,598 bets |
| Sadoshi0xe3e5…dd13 | Yes | 239 | 94.4¢ | $233 | — |
| badatthis0x75ac…33d7 | No | 7,000 | 2.9¢ | $178 | Proven+$6.73 per $100 · 6,671 bets |
| Parz1vaI0xb100…6461 | No | 5,500 | 2.5¢ | $140 | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 6,933 bets |
| black45620x9242…a140 | Yes | 137 | 94.0¢ | $134 | — |
| SRploy0x2e6b…13f2 | No | 5,000 | 2.7¢ | $127 | Losing−$3.07 per $100 · 1,131 bets |
| caaeth0x2f76…7bcc | No | 4,644 | 2.9¢ | $118 | New60 settled bets |
| clazzy10xb23e…829a | Yes | 106 | 96.7¢ | $103 | — |
| Binarap0x2f93…7fa6 | Yes | 105 | 96.9¢ | $102 | — |
| liamweber0x6cfc…a5c2 | Yes | 100 | 96.6¢ | $98 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 1,255 bets |
| PredictionYogi0x6964…ef53 | Yes | 100 | 97.4¢ | $97 | Break-even+$0.43 per $100 · 4,460 bets |
| omsode0x82bd…335e | Yes | 100 | 73.0¢ | $97 | — |
| 0xnapalm0xf6cb…3f69 | Yes | 100 | 96.3¢ | $97 | Proven+$2.58 per $100 · 944 bets |
| 0x7500…567f | No | 3,183 | 4.6¢ | $81 | Positive+$7.54 per $100 · 1,726 bets |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | Yes | 82 | 96.8¢ | $80 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| meagainsttheworld0x9592…a7b8 | No | 3,000 | 3.7¢ | $77 | Proven+$8.59 per $100 · 1,238 bets |
| howi-10x1de4…070a | Yes | 53 | 97.1¢ | $51 | — |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 2,000 | 2.7¢ | $51 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| ztotti0x6da3…95a0 | Yes | 50 | 50.0¢ | $49 | — |
| ULYSSES180x9ef5…5d4f | Yes | 50 | 97.1¢ | $49 | Break-even+$0.29 per $100 · 342 bets |
| richyee0xcdf5…e344 | Yes | 50 | 92.0¢ | $49 | — |
| 0xb6ce…895d | Yes | 48 | 96.3¢ | $47 | Positive+$1.74 per $100 · 1,065 bets |
| alivedeer0xe0c5…913c | Yes | 33 | 93.0¢ | $32 | Losing−$12.71 per $100 · 427 bets |
| garbagefriends0xc5bd…ceaa | Yes | 30 | 94.0¢ | $29 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 1,711 bets |
| title10xbe74…a70e | No | 1,000 | 2.6¢ | $26 | Positive+$1.92 per $100 · 7,460 bets |
| 0xff7c…b233 | No | 1,000 | 2.8¢ | $25 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| YieldScouter0x3ec5…c370 | Yes | 21 | 96.0¢ | $20 | — |
| sanlitouP20x1d27…7e73 | Yes | 20 | 97.1¢ | $20 | — |
| ghinseeker0x33c8…157b | Yes | 20 | 96.0¢ | $19 | — |
| Blueynbingo0x52aa…42a2 | Yes | 20 | 51.0¢ | $19 | — |
| 0x4d78…1e2b | Yes | 18 | 96.9¢ | $18 | — |
| 0x7b64…8440 | Yes | 18 | 96.7¢ | $17 | — |
| FenceStradler0xb6db…e8a7 | Yes | 17 | 96.6¢ | $17 | — |
| 0xcdaf…7159 | Yes | 17 | 97.0¢ | $16 | — |
| Detbet0x8cb7…66e3 | Yes | 16 | 96.6¢ | $16 | New74 settled bets |
| SuSuDORIS0xfadb…5645 | No | 610 | 4.7¢ | $16 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 608 | 5.9¢ | $16 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| 0xccf5…f72f | Yes | 15 | 96.9¢ | $15 | — |
| Kastellvalen0xe5c2…6b76 | Yes | 15 | 93.7¢ | $15 | — |
| 77kbCcPrd2uG8w0x8dde…5045 | Yes | 14 | 96.8¢ | $14 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 174 bets |
| paddaa0x60a9…5a71 | No | 475 | 8.4¢ | $12 | Proven+$5.20 per $100 · 2,221 bets |
| 0xd673…2305 | No | 433 | 2.6¢ | $11 | — |
| dafa160xb552…1064 | Yes | 11 | 93.0¢ | $10 | — |
| Jasmin4220xecf2…b1f9 | Yes | 11 | 93.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xef03…1fbf | Yes | 10 | 96.0¢ | $10 | — |
| Digital-Boy0xfe41…9f23 | No | 350 | 3.8¢ | $9 | Losing−$5.45 per $100 · 4,338 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 329 | 20.4¢ | $8 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | No | 300 | 11.0¢ | $8 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| Relaccsed0xa6b7…d5f3 | No | 260 | 15.0¢ | $7 | — |
| efren830xdd4c…5dac | No | 214 | 3.1¢ | $5 | — |
| 50cents0x7c9e…db3d | No | 200 | 3.5¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x5449…992b | No | 142 | 3.6¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,692 bets |
| ifyouloveme0x5a0d…fa97 | No | 140 | 10.6¢ | $4 | Positive+$2.57 per $100 · 549 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 136 | 3.5¢ | $3 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| 00dd0xa1ff…f398 | No | 134 | 3.2¢ | $3 | — |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | No | 121 | 3.8¢ | $3 | Losing−$3.71 per $100 · 4,954 bets |
| PaddyAlpha0x9ad0…bf3d | No | 110 | 2.7¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 3,059 bets |
| galhammerman0xdc05…9a76 | No | 101 | 6.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x3929…0f19 | No | 100 | 6.0¢ | $3 | — |
| regregr0xcbe2…b059 | No | 96 | 2.6¢ | $2 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 75 | 3.1¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Fuadkrm70x77d5…eace | No | 60 | 5.0¢ | $2 | — |
| po-ly28-test-user60x53f8…5ce0 | No | 56 | 3.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.10 per $100 · 533 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | No | 51 | 7.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| TestingMyGangster0x3a51…fd7f | No | 50 | 2.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$4.14 per $100 · 133 bets |
| sdssds0x813f…26ec | No | 50 | 11.0¢ | $1 | — |
| CT-test0x5ad6…d276 | No | 44 | 9.0¢ | $1 | — |
| congmqian-gendan0x9e16…7a42 | No | 40 | 2.6¢ | $1 | — |
| AiBird0xa58d…b9b8 | No | 36 | 3.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.45 per $100 · 14,377 bets |
| 0opj4kuu4xb20x3500…07f0 | No | 30 | 9.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$12.60 per $100 · 4,915 bets |
| borz19110xc356…f96d | No | 26 | 3.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2650…44f7 | No | 24 | 7.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.39 per $100 · 1,748 bets |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | No | 18 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ddd1d430x0b4e…4d72 | No | 10 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 3,507 bets |
| asdfdd1230x2232…a2c5 | No | 10 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ConsensusOfCredibleReporting0x0275…b936 | No | 6 | 4.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 14,400 bets |
| 0x43c6…69f9 | No | 5 | 13.0¢ | $0 | — |
| polijet0x9268…fb13 | No | 5 | 3.4¢ | $0 | — |
| asdf112d0x839f…ecba | No | 2 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| rubby13370x9c18…f3a2 | No | 1 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ConfusedUngaBunga0x1e10…beee | No | 0 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$40.20 per $100 · 6,200 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 30 shares each side · Show
|