Market · 2 of 3 outcomes
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:54 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| laureman0x1359…092e | Yes | 3,503 | 90.7¢ | $3.21K | Positive+$1.13 per $100 · 112 bets |
| sbimbg0xf519…906b | Yes | 3,052 | 91.0¢ | $2.79K | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | 2,222 | 91.0¢ | $2.03K | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,254 bets |
| 2KTrade0xbde4…6109 | Yes | 1,052 | 91.9¢ | $962 | New76 settled bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 1,000 | 91.0¢ | $915 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 65,033 bets |
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | Yes | 1,000 | 91.0¢ | $915 | Proven+$3.46 per $100 · 1,712 bets |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 221 shares each side · Show
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