Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 15:33 UTC. Not financial advice.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 13 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cqs0xdfe3…73c4 | No | 183,112 | 61.6¢ | $171K | Proven+$3.66 per $100 · 401 bets |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | No | 48,737 | 92.6¢ | $45.6K | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| How.Dare.You0x4bbe…2cf3 | No | 46,272 | 82.1¢ | $43.3K | Losing−$4.63 per $100 · 1,350 bets |
| cezarn1320x5f17…519e | No | 36,592 | 61.4¢ | $34.2K | Break-even−$0.24 per $100 · 205 bets |
| Shminni0x602d…b193 | No | 20,062 | 77.0¢ | $18.8K | New37 settled bets |
| 0x8b71…8044 | No | 17,126 | 88.3¢ | $16K | Proven+$4.95 per $100 · 201 bets |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 7.5K shares each side · Show
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