Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:40 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 13 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cqs0xdfe3…73c4 | No | 183,112 | 61.6¢ | $171K | Proven+$3.66 per $100 · 401 bets |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | No | 48,737 | 92.6¢ | $45.6K | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| How.Dare.You0x4bbe…2cf3 | No | 46,272 | 82.1¢ | $43.3K | Losing−$4.63 per $100 · 1,350 bets |
| cezarn1320x5f17…519e | No | 36,592 | 61.4¢ | $34.2K | Break-even−$0.24 per $100 · 205 bets |
| Shminni0x602d…b193 | No | 20,062 | 77.0¢ | $18.8K | New37 settled bets |
| 0x8b71…8044 | No | 17,126 | 88.3¢ | $16K | Proven+$4.95 per $100 · 201 bets |
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | No | 15,017 | 92.6¢ | $14K | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 2,408 bets |
| SirHarryOakes0x5685…62e2 | No | 14,721 | 67.9¢ | $13.8K | Proven+$5.58 per $100 · 297 bets |
| alwaysOn0xc550…272d | No | 14,393 | 93.2¢ | $13.5K | Positive+$1.59 per $100 · 1,030 bets |
| Azrarn0x8631…9a73 | No | 13,675 | 69.1¢ | $12.8K | Losing−$6.27 per $100 · 248 bets |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 12,000 | 92.8¢ | $11.2K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| 0x1104…7bab | No | 10,524 | 79.5¢ | $9.84K | New15 settled bets |
| QMG-SCALAR0x1d62…d76b | No | 10,000 | 93.5¢ | $9.35K | Positive+$1.50 per $100 · 192 bets |
| hasan960x3cd0…439b | No | 9,258 | 95.0¢ | $8.66K | New26 settled bets |
| Jolic0x8f11…4eac | No | 7,513 | 79.9¢ | $7.02K | New94 settled bets |
| bamesjond0xe598…a0a8 | No | 7,255 | 72.6¢ | $6.78K | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 2,118 bets |
| hopedieslast0x5739…5f1a | Yes | 97,334 | 34.6¢ | $6.33K | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 244 bets |
| gopfan20xf2f6…5817 | No | 6,657 | 60.8¢ | $6.22K | Proven+$5.39 per $100 · 2,338 bets |
| pravii-bereg0x166b…f785 | No | 6,549 | 93.0¢ | $6.12K | New3 settled bets |
| Jerzy0x5943…2ef2 | No | 6,500 | 88.8¢ | $6.08K | Proven+$5.52 per $100 · 363 bets |
| Gmoney160xf244…9b9e | No | 6,500 | 92.9¢ | $6.08K | New20 settled bets |
| pemul1s0xc65f…a150 | No | 6,450 | 72.6¢ | $6.03K | New66 settled bets |
| MEPP0x6d9f…9790 | No | 6,400 | 62.8¢ | $5.98K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 1,289 bets |
| Vasiqwe0xb555…e61b | No | 6,399 | 79.0¢ | $5.98K | Proven+$8.12 per $100 · 855 bets |
| Jack4cash0x5ea9…0bff | Yes | 88,776 | 7.3¢ | $5.77K | New0 settled bets |
| ggdajiba0x1fa0…0465 | No | 6,010 | 92.6¢ | $5.62K | Break-even−$0.28 per $100 · 127 bets |
| GoiBluc0xb168…cdc0 | No | 5,903 | 84.7¢ | $5.52K | New29 settled bets |
| justme0030xcb89…a2e8 | No | 5,814 | 86.3¢ | $5.44K | Losing−$1.29 per $100 · 343 bets |
| yevhenry0x0164…9ed6 | No | 5,500 | 84.8¢ | $5.14K | Positive+$1.17 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| mountaindewd0x944e…8c94 | No | 5,444 | 59.2¢ | $5.09K | Proven+$9.46 per $100 · 748 bets |
| 0xcb58…0160 | No | 5,400 | 73.0¢ | $5.05K | Break-even+$0.18 per $100 · 113 bets |
| bvbvbvbvbvb0x3185…927a | No | 5,344 | 84.2¢ | $5K | New25 settled bets |
| Sylvester.the.Cat0x0f2b…665a | No | 5,000 | 92.4¢ | $4.68K | Proven+$7.28 per $100 · 118 bets |
| TheRealWarMonger0xe472…e7eb | No | 5,000 | 94.2¢ | $4.67K | Break-even−$0.18 per $100 · 699 bets |
| imakebigbets0x09e3…48ac | No | 4,963 | 61.8¢ | $4.64K | Break-even+$0.06 per $100 · 440 bets |
| CP-directional0x07e1…27af | No | 4,841 | 93.4¢ | $4.53K | Break-even−$0.41 per $100 · 141 bets |
| Constantine10x823b…4eb7 | No | 4,690 | 85.3¢ | $4.39K | New37 settled bets |
| kanyewests0x0651…be62 | No | 4,562 | 87.7¢ | $4.27K | New41 settled bets |
| twe2nty0xdd5c…0c2a | No | 4,313 | 76.0¢ | $4.03K | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 297 bets |
| EPunx0x4f00…7add | No | 4,201 | 87.8¢ | $3.93K | Losing−$3.09 per $100 · 274 bets |
| PozdnoBLog0x0277…1500 | No | 4,096 | 83.0¢ | $3.83K | New61 settled bets |
| AML0xfd22…ad91 | Yes | 58,541 | 9.0¢ | $3.81K | New52 settled bets |
| Outsmarter0x1b60…a55b | No | 4,021 | 90.2¢ | $3.76K | Proven+$28.81 per $100 · 152 bets |
| fdsfsdfsdfsdfsdffs0x938e…0459 | No | 4,000 | 85.0¢ | $3.74K | New25 settled bets |
| AlAhmeda0x9d73…216b | No | 4,000 | 94.2¢ | $3.74K | Losing−$1.99 per $100 · 4,949 bets |
| Go3ami2g0x0dbd…f4a5 | No | 4,000 | 71.3¢ | $3.74K | New25 settled bets |
| Andrycuk0x7a3b…2138 | Yes | 56,628 | 25.8¢ | $3.68K | Losing−$5.06 per $100 · 100 bets |
| skibabiba0x79d9…baec | No | 3,850 | 78.0¢ | $3.6K | Proven+$2.37 per $100 · 116 bets |
| controls0x165e…f5aa | No | 3,396 | 93.0¢ | $3.18K | — |
| nchgbhy0x57b0…76f4 | No | 3,351 | 92.0¢ | $3.13K | Proven+$2.09 per $100 · 2,943 bets |
| frankxyz0x0520…9708 | No | 3,302 | 83.7¢ | $3.09K | Break-even+$0.58 per $100 · 427 bets |
| 0x833a…adec | Yes | 45,488 | 21.5¢ | $2.96K | New26 settled bets |
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | No | 3,004 | 91.6¢ | $2.81K | Proven+$3.46 per $100 · 1,712 bets |
| ErnstKuzorra0xad8e…776e | No | 3,000 | 94.0¢ | $2.81K | Losing−$1.19 per $100 · 621 bets |
| slatfatf0xb93e…b8fd | Yes | 34,319 | 20.9¢ | $2.23K | New16 settled bets |
| Snow-White0xa81e…03dc | Yes | 29,830 | 18.0¢ | $1.94K | Break-even+$0.30 per $100 · 1,019 bets |
| tnl0xb619…5068 | Yes | 20,000 | 7.0¢ | $1.3K | Break-even+$0.97 per $100 · 1,242 bets |
| compute0xd0d9…d6db | Yes | 12,466 | 9.2¢ | $810 | Positive+$5.67 per $100 · 360 bets |
| HopeDisLasts0xae70…abfb | Yes | 11,000 | 22.3¢ | $715 | Losing−$10.63 per $100 · 224 bets |
| nikisok0x3358…6f54 | Yes | 9,105 | 11.0¢ | $592 | New1 settled bet |
| Dubya0xcfc7…69eb | Yes | 8,842 | 25.9¢ | $575 | New13 settled bets |
| SecondWindCapital0x8c80…02c3 | Yes | 8,452 | 37.0¢ | $549 | New79 settled bets |
| dunefish0xc2e9…6d4e | Yes | 7,711 | 38.2¢ | $501 | New9 settled bets |
| biogoose0x7e9c…fb5d | Yes | 7,621 | 37.3¢ | $495 | Losing−$12.87 per $100 · 147 bets |
| 0x4114…37c4 | Yes | 7,539 | 40.0¢ | $490 | New36 settled bets |
| bree420x38d4…187f | Yes | 7,204 | 42.3¢ | $468 | New6 settled bets |
| anciano0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | 6,900 | 5.8¢ | $448 | Break-even−$0.07 per $100 · 6,243 bets |
| notgoodluck0x413f…47f3 | Yes | 6,712 | 37.0¢ | $436 | Losing−$7.69 per $100 · 382 bets |
| korn1k0x0158…810c | Yes | 6,303 | 7.7¢ | $410 | New0 settled bets |
| Javier777Milei0x2e61…19bd | Yes | 5,867 | 8.6¢ | $381 | Positive+$1.85 per $100 · 844 bets |
| 0xce5f…1912 | Yes | 5,810 | 18.0¢ | $378 | New41 settled bets |
| WhaleZone0xac22…5442 | Yes | 5,454 | 47.7¢ | $354 | New26 settled bets |
| alean0x7216…cb34 | Yes | 5,391 | 9.4¢ | $350 | Losing−$17.84 per $100 · 194 bets |
| AlWoo0x276f…bfb5 | Yes | 5,284 | 12.6¢ | $343 | Losing−$21.77 per $100 · 220 bets |
| Ivano4ka0xc7d5…97ef | Yes | 5,027 | 29.4¢ | $327 | New3 settled bets |
| 0x0371…3683 | Yes | 4,850 | 20.6¢ | $315 | New24 settled bets |
| mtmtmtmtmt0xd749…12ca | Yes | 4,286 | 35.0¢ | $279 | New18 settled bets |
| Kiphawk0xbce9…b1ba | Yes | 4,194 | 30.7¢ | $273 | Losing−$11.74 per $100 · 276 bets |
| UncleAlexandr0x1316…b210 | Yes | 4,094 | 24.5¢ | $266 | New3 settled bets |
| 0x8cae…061a | Yes | 4,079 | 7.6¢ | $265 | New2 settled bets |
| Mac-Gyver0x524d…4495 | Yes | 4,027 | 6.0¢ | $262 | Proven+$12.11 per $100 · 580 bets |
| jsjr0x12bf…ddaf | Yes | 3,937 | 6.8¢ | $256 | Losing−$1.74 per $100 · 688 bets |
| 0xed11…54fa | Yes | 3,934 | 7.0¢ | $256 | — |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 3,870 | 31.3¢ | $252 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| vacoolaaa0x464e…1a67 | Yes | 3,842 | 34.2¢ | $250 | Losing−$3.60 per $100 · 218 bets |
| 0xcdc0…dcd8 | Yes | 3,580 | 36.1¢ | $233 | Positive+$1.49 per $100 · 406 bets |
| mooger0xb83a…2a7e | Yes | 3,571 | 7.0¢ | $232 | Proven+$8.25 per $100 · 136 bets |
| 0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA96040x8a98…1b92 | Yes | 3,187 | 12.9¢ | $207 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 1,882 bets |
| 0xd359…d361 | Yes | 3,110 | 18.9¢ | $202 | New90 settled bets |
| JBODnumber10x0ff3…b0fe | Yes | 3,000 | 32.0¢ | $195 | Positive+$3.26 per $100 · 155 bets |
| mombil0x68c2…1711 | Yes | 3,000 | 31.0¢ | $195 | Proven+$5.27 per $100 · 3,127 bets |
| 0x7c02…afd5 | Yes | 2,911 | 7.8¢ | $189 | New45 settled bets |
| BO-os0x18c3…2b87 | Yes | 2,857 | 7.0¢ | $186 | New67 settled bets |
| Bloombergg0x5018…6108 | Yes | 2,778 | 36.0¢ | $181 | New72 settled bets |
| bnetopt0xf18f…294c | Yes | 2,500 | 10.0¢ | $162 | Losing−$21.26 per $100 · 431 bets |
| quantumtinsel0x1ede…c93f | Yes | 2,440 | 30.2¢ | $159 | New32 settled bets |
| mr-green-tea0x2c69…1019 | Yes | 2,389 | 35.5¢ | $155 | New45 settled bets |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 7.5K shares each side · Show
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