Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:07 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 7 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valen90x162f…798d | No | 31,245 | 69.5¢ | $22K | Proven+$2.48 per $100 · 882 bets |
| cambridgeisaac0xb51b…b4d9 | No | 7,897 | 77.2¢ | $5.57K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Raskell0xb37a…f1b1 | No | 6,168 | 77.3¢ | $4.35K | — |
| 0x4135…e462 | Yes | 11,747 | 30.5¢ | $3.47K | — |
| DonJoey10xff91…a1ed | Yes | 10,549 | 28.4¢ | $3.11K | — |
| Hossein-m0xd726…b5c9 | Yes | 8,000 | 37.6¢ | $2.36K | — |