Market · 2 of 2 outcomes

December 31, 2026

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:17 UTC. Not financial advice.

Market · 2 of 2 outcomes

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Chance of Yes

None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.

Proven traders, money on each side

4 proven traders are on Yes, 8 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.

Top holders after netting each trader's Yes shares against their No shares
Trader	Side	Shares	Bought at	Worth now	Record
ReedUpdatee0x07a9…32c8	No	1,183,662	90.3¢	$1.15M	Losing−$7.86 per $100 · 133 bets
onekey020xfaf9…f4c4	No	1,035,328	90.2¢	$1.01M	Break-even

Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.

Decided by: The market resolves "Yes" if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia at any point between market creation and the specified date (ET).§1
Resignation announcement: An announcement of Putin's resignation or removal before the market's end date resolves the market to "Yes" at once, regardless of when it takes effect.§3
Detained or removed: If Putin is detained, effectively removed from the office, or permanently prevented from doing its duties within the timeframe, it qualifies for "Yes".§4
Counted: Whether Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time.§1
Source: Official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.§5
Closes: Jan 1, 2027 · 04:59 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.

Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:17 UTC. Not financial advice.