Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:13 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 8 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ReedUpdatee0x07a9…32c8 | No | 1,183,662 | 90.3¢ | $1.15M | Losing−$7.86 per $100 · 133 bets |
| onekey020xfaf9…f4c4 | No | 1,035,328 | 90.2¢ | $1.01M | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 441 bets |
| ThisAgain0x2cff…59db | No | 537,242 | 87.0¢ | $522K | New36 settled bets |
| ololololololololo0x2c4c…cb39 | No | 442,222 | 86.5¢ | $430K | Losing−$8.48 per $100 · 188 bets |
| Clicker10xc884…e17e | No | 304,514 | 89.0¢ | $296K | New24 settled bets |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 300,000 | 87.5¢ | $291K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| IGORS0x1496…ee6f | No | 288,687 | 91.7¢ | $280K | New14 settled bets |
| BigBusinessPro0x71b5…1231 | No | 272,554 | 85.4¢ | $265K | New1 settled bet |
| SecondWindCapital0x8c80…02c3 | No | 159,018 | 88.2¢ | $154K | New79 settled bets |
| afdafdafdafdafd0x410a…2643 | No | 129,145 | 93.8¢ | $125K | Losing−$2.15 per $100 · 311 bets |
| 0xdea2…e981 | No | 126,225 | 85.8¢ | $123K | New23 settled bets |
| vacoolaaa0x464e…1a67 | No | 108,226 | 88.1¢ | $105K | Losing−$3.60 per $100 · 218 bets |
| 0xeF9E1c0xef9e…8c58 | No | 99,999 | 87.3¢ | $97.1K | New1 settled bet |
| ANGGGuess0xab01…2558 | No | 69,420 | 91.5¢ | $67.4K | New10 settled bets |
| SlenderMan0xab19…4876 | No | 64,000 | 96.7¢ | $62.2K | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 533 bets |
| forinnerpsandr1x112220x5c14…cc49 | No | 61,021 | 51.6¢ | $59.3K | Proven+$2.66 per $100 · 298 bets |
| 0xa3ff…540e | No | 56,818 | 88.0¢ | $55.2K | New21 settled bets |
| ZnotluvuiSamez0x2889…9226 | Yes | 1,905,243 | 13.1¢ | $54.3K | New43 settled bets |
| shibagege0xb6c8…b9e6 | No | 52,000 | 87.0¢ | $50.5K | Proven+$2.35 per $100 · 395 bets |
| How.Dare.You0x4bbe…2cf3 | No | 49,999 | 89.1¢ | $48.6K | Losing−$4.63 per $100 · 1,350 bets |
| Serendipity9950x15cd…0888 | No | 49,223 | 88.4¢ | $47.8K | New17 settled bets |
| SuperFake0x9901…6046 | No | 48,641 | 96.0¢ | $47.3K | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 1,317 bets |
| refzer0x4b2f…1627 | No | 43,846 | 94.8¢ | $42.6K | New66 settled bets |
| fawfafwafafwa0xdd15…6d82 | No | 43,110 | 90.5¢ | $41.9K | New0 settled bets |
| jbr0x04fc…0e31 | No | 41,789 | 92.0¢ | $40.6K | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 180 bets |
| RewardsMafia0x3eed…cb2a | No | 39,729 | 86.6¢ | $38.6K | Losing−$7.90 per $100 · 237 bets |
| 0x1cd4…f100 | No | 38,230 | 89.5¢ | $37.1K | New31 settled bets |
| BIC050xf285…1b96 | No | 38,000 | 95.7¢ | $36.9K | New6 settled bets |
| asskik0x380c…951c | No | 35,266 | 88.9¢ | $34.3K | Losing−$15.37 per $100 · 265 bets |
| Imbafer0x02a1…dd72 | No | 31,136 | 50.2¢ | $30.2K | Proven+$9.31 per $100 · 481 bets |
| Redlu0x81e0…aff6 | No | 30,545 | 92.0¢ | $29.7K | New29 settled bets |
| 0x19jf912hf012-12ljf012eh1n2d0x12c8…2254 | No | 30,000 | 92.0¢ | $29.1K | New1 settled bet |
| forever1230x8998…32be | No | 30,000 | 89.0¢ | $29.1K | New63 settled bets |
| Shminni0x602d…b193 | No | 29,599 | 90.2¢ | $28.8K | New37 settled bets |
| Joe-Biden0x8b5a…00f2 | Yes | 960,323 | 5.0¢ | $27.4K | Proven+$16.39 per $100 · 383 bets |
| BarakWis0xfeec…aa69 | No | 28,119 | 80.0¢ | $27.3K | Break-even−$0.33 per $100 · 245 bets |
| 0x8b71…8044 | No | 26,682 | 90.1¢ | $25.9K | Proven+$4.95 per $100 · 201 bets |
| eCash0x62cf…5826 | No | 26,200 | 87.8¢ | $25.5K | Proven+$6.06 per $100 · 622 bets |
| johndoez0x6f87…f277 | No | 25,000 | 86.6¢ | $24.3K | Proven+$12.94 per $100 · 155 bets |
| whig0x40cf…d21d | No | 25,000 | 86.3¢ | $24.3K | Proven+$11.57 per $100 · 1,091 bets |
| TerreMoto0x0b21…deb6 | No | 23,000 | 54.7¢ | $22.3K | Positive+$1.33 per $100 · 258 bets |
| kirillostrovski0xb357…ff05 | No | 23,000 | 90.8¢ | $22.3K | Positive+$1.61 per $100 · 222 bets |
| Bamboooou0xb245…f392 | No | 20,000 | 89.0¢ | $19.4K | New11 settled bets |
| ThanksGivingTurkey10010xbace…3429 | No | 17,332 | 94.8¢ | $16.8K | Positive+$1.59 per $100 · 415 bets |
| mr-green-tea0x2c69…1019 | No | 16,732 | 88.3¢ | $16.3K | New45 settled bets |
| orlovgraf0x2fcb…e48f | No | 16,470 | 89.9¢ | $16K | New51 settled bets |
| budu1000x43b4…ec9c | No | 16,200 | 89.0¢ | $15.7K | Positive+$1.61 per $100 · 147 bets |
| 0xcf19…6402 | No | 15,854 | 86.0¢ | $15.4K | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 457 bets |
| 0x333e…369b | No | 15,000 | 94.0¢ | $14.6K | Positive+$1.24 per $100 · 163 bets |
| DegenerateJanet0x8964…0bec | No | 14,513 | 89.5¢ | $14.1K | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 666 bets |
| JarahTheron0xb03e…f365 | No | 14,495 | 87.7¢ | $14.1K | New6 settled bets |
| OLOTH0x8de6…2938 | No | 14,465 | 92.3¢ | $14.1K | Break-even−$0.42 per $100 · 1,145 bets |
| My-name-Soloway0xc810…2e98 | Yes | 261,091 | 11.2¢ | $7.44K | New0 settled bets |
| generalSVR0x5e85…80c1 | Yes | 260,084 | 12.2¢ | $7.41K | New20 settled bets |
| AlexCimmeria0x21c7…191a | Yes | 227,429 | 10.3¢ | $6.48K | Losing−$16.65 per $100 · 224 bets |
| Poopin0xc1fa…d0b7 | Yes | 225,643 | 12.2¢ | $6.43K | New6 settled bets |
| Bogr0x3a68…835a | Yes | 222,697 | 9.2¢ | $6.35K | New25 settled bets |
| DontTilt0x1e7f…94ba | Yes | 169,274 | 3.5¢ | $4.82K | New6 settled bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 149,999 | 6.3¢ | $4.27K | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| Ar.Mykhailo0xebc7…4316 | Yes | 135,250 | 7.5¢ | $3.85K | New0 settled bets |
| 0x2299…d23a | Yes | 125,000 | 12.0¢ | $3.56K | New30 settled bets |
| 0xfc9d…9d68 | Yes | 119,439 | 11.2¢ | $3.4K | New8 settled bets |
| HuallagaRiver0x82d7…fd8f | Yes | 113,239 | 4.4¢ | $3.23K | New4 settled bets |
| stavr0x5c22…e4db | Yes | 107,255 | 13.7¢ | $3.06K | Break-even−$0.75 per $100 · 151 bets |
| SandCat10x0f96…09b7 | Yes | 99,520 | 10.8¢ | $2.84K | New5 settled bets |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 99,385 | 5.3¢ | $2.83K | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| tetrose0x7447…a16d | Yes | 89,644 | 6.0¢ | $2.55K | Positive+$3.08 per $100 · 772 bets |
| 0x798f…d7d3 | Yes | 73,061 | 9.8¢ | $2.08K | New40 settled bets |
| OverlookHotel0x1d37…f4a4 | Yes | 65,001 | 10.0¢ | $1.85K | Losing−$23.70 per $100 · 297 bets |
| artus330x4930…32eb | Yes | 63,663 | 12.5¢ | $1.81K | New7 settled bets |
| LemonBrothers0x7b05…6180 | Yes | 62,144 | 10.0¢ | $1.77K | Proven+$3.06 per $100 · 139 bets |
| boooooooorn0x0eb3…a75f | Yes | 60,399 | 9.8¢ | $1.72K | New9 settled bets |
| BigPutinShort0x1a2f…4434 | Yes | 54,887 | 8.8¢ | $1.56K | New4 settled bets |
| chargerup0x9ee2…2bdb | Yes | 50,962 | 12.4¢ | $1.45K | New1 settled bet |
| opa4aa0x2f16…1e38 | Yes | 44,110 | 9.2¢ | $1.26K | New50 settled bets |
| JosiahCrab0xcf6c…3f7b | Yes | 43,598 | 3.1¢ | $1.24K | New0 settled bets |
| your-urologist0xc7e9…e046 | Yes | 40,717 | 11.3¢ | $1.16K | New1 settled bet |
| Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa8 | Yes | 40,000 | 4.3¢ | $1.14K | Proven+$2.20 per $100 · 1,792 bets |
| vvoovvaasseexx0x3c78…5468 | Yes | 37,403 | 10.8¢ | $1.07K | New82 settled bets |
| Outsid3rTrading0xf1ef…8cd6 | Yes | 30,000 | 7.0¢ | $855 | Break-even+$0.74 per $100 · 2,128 bets |
| medvedman0x6b0e…0517 | Yes | 28,327 | 13.6¢ | $807 | Positive+$1.57 per $100 · 260 bets |
| zer0pers0n0x7711…2bee | Yes | 26,000 | 18.2¢ | $741 | Losing−$11.02 per $100 · 263 bets |
| Count.Glockula0x0ee1…39a9 | Yes | 25,808 | 13.3¢ | $736 | New1 settled bet |
| M.Miros0x5226…26f4 | Yes | 23,932 | 12.7¢ | $682 | New1 settled bet |
| BobicLudicJr0x52eb…40f0 | Yes | 23,322 | 9.0¢ | $665 | New22 settled bets |
| 12341230x359d…2143 | Yes | 23,107 | 14.0¢ | $659 | New2 settled bets |
| iuH1398SI0x44b7…2e99 | Yes | 22,431 | 9.0¢ | $639 | Losing−$4.93 per $100 · 738 bets |
| boooo0x0459…203c | Yes | 22,000 | 9.6¢ | $627 | New50 settled bets |
| ViktorMikhailovich0x2ead…1197 | Yes | 20,407 | 10.0¢ | $582 | New4 settled bets |
| whysoslow0x8a98…2619 | Yes | 17,056 | 6.9¢ | $486 | New0 settled bets |
| vsesoso0x07ce…f696 | Yes | 17,000 | 7.3¢ | $484 | New3 settled bets |
| ChiiR0x6447…69b7 | Yes | 16,751 | 11.9¢ | $477 | New41 settled bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 16,237 | 3.4¢ | $463 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| Zumala0x82c7…f1f8 | Yes | 16,207 | 7.4¢ | $462 | New78 settled bets |
| Winner780x9a66…9bc0 | Yes | 16,001 | 10.5¢ | $456 | New47 settled bets |
| CORWIL0x3c67…e1a8 | Yes | 15,260 | 7.0¢ | $435 | New76 settled bets |
| lug0xe0db…f44e | Yes | 15,000 | 7.0¢ | $427 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 4,496 bets |
| ronniegrob0x5494…85fe | Yes | 15,000 | 8.7¢ | $427 | New43 settled bets |
| bubvol0x1bd1…f366 | Yes | 15,000 | 18.9¢ | $427 | New10 settled bets |
| 0xcca4…8674 | Yes | 14,479 | 11.2¢ | $413 | New15 settled bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.