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Topic · Macro
189 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
2.5% of Polymarket
Events · markets
31 · 189
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
1 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Oct 29
in 18 days
Biggest first · chance of Yes
| Market | Event | Chance | This week | Ends | Money in play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change | Fed Decision in October? | 83.5¢ | up 1 point this week | Oct 29 | $1.23M |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 16:50 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| 25 bps increase |
| Fed Decision in October? |
| 16.5¢ |
| – |
| Oct 29 |
| $1.04M |
| 25 bps decrease | Fed Decision in October? | 0.5¢ | up 0.1 points this week | Oct 29 | $0.88M |
| 50+ bps decrease | Fed Decision in October? | 0.1¢ | down 0.1 points this week | Oct 29 | $0.85M |
| 50+ bps increase | Fed Decision in October? | 0.4¢ | down 0.1 points this week | Oct 29 | $0.63M |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | 75.5¢ | up 2 points this week | Dec 10 | $0.33M |
| 0 (0 bps) | How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? | 95.5¢ | down 0.4 points this week | Jan 1 | $0.32M |
| 11 (275 bps) | How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? | 0.1¢ | – | Jan 1 | $0.19M |
| 10 (250 bps) | How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? | 0.1¢ | – | Jan 1 | $0.18M |
| 9 (225 bps) | How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? | 0.1¢ | – | Jan 1 | $0.16M |
| 6 (150 bps) | How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? | 0.1¢ | up 0.1 points this week | Jan 1 | $0.15M |
| 12+ (300+ bps) | How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? | 0.1¢ | – | Jan 1 | $0.14M |
| 7 (175 bps) | How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? | 0.1¢ | – | Jan 1 | $0.13M |
| 1 (25 bps) | How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? | 1.8¢ | up 0.1 points this week | Jan 1 | $0.13M |
| 2 (50 bps) | How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? | 0.7¢ | down 0.2 points this week | Jan 1 | $0.12M |
| 8 (200 bps) | How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? | 0.1¢ | – | Jan 1 | $0.12M |
| 5 (125 bps) | How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? | 0.1¢ | up 0.1 points this week | Jan 1 | $0.11M |
| 3 (75 bps) | How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? | 0.7¢ | up 0.4 points this week | Jan 1 | $0.11M |
| 25 bps increase | Fed Decision in December? | 74.5¢ | up 3 points this week | Dec 9 | $0.10M |
| 4 (100 bps) | How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? | 0.1¢ | – | Jan 1 | $99.4K |
| December 2026 Meeting | Fed rate cut by...? | 2.3¢ | down 1.3 points this week | Jan 29 | $91.4K |
| No change | Fed Decision in December? | 22.5¢ | down 3 points this week | Dec 9 | $89.0K |
| 1 (25 bps) | How many Fed rate hikes in 2026? | 21.5¢ | down 6 points this week | Dec 31 | $83.9K |
| 25 bps decrease | Fed Decision in December? | 1.2¢ | no change this week | Dec 9 | $80.3K |
| 50+ bps decrease | Fed Decision in December? | 0.7¢ | up 0.4 points this week | Dec 9 | $74.9K |
| 5.5% | How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027? | 40.2¢ | down 2.3 points this week | Jan 1 | $71.9K |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | 3.9¢ | up 0.7 points this week | Jan 1 | $59.3K |
| 50+ bps increase | Fed Decision in December? | 2.9¢ | down 0.4 points this week | Dec 9 | $56.0K |
| October 2026 Meeting | Fed rate cut by...? | 0.5¢ | up 0.1 points this week | Jan 29 | $48.2K |
| 5.7% | How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027? | 16.1¢ | down 1 point this week | Jan 1 | $37.9K |
| 5.5% | How high will US unemployment go in 2026? | 2.5¢ | no change this week | Feb 1 | $37.8K |
| 6.0% | How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027? | 6.3¢ | down 0.3 points this week | Jan 1 | $36.3K |
| 2 (50 bps) | How many Fed rate hikes in 2026? | 70.5¢ | up 7 points this week | Dec 31 | $34.5K |
| 3 (75 bps) | How many Fed rate hikes in 2026? | 7.5¢ | up 0.2 points this week | Dec 31 | $30.0K |
| 5.0% | How high will US unemployment go in 2026? | 4.9¢ | up 0.2 points this week | Feb 1 | $27.1K |
| ↓ 2.75% | What will Fed Rate hit before 2027? | 2.5¢ | up 0.2 points this week | Dec 31 | $25.8K |
| ↓ 3.0% | What will Fed Rate hit before 2027? | 1.9¢ | up 0.2 points this week | Dec 31 | $22.5K |
| Hike–Hike–Hike | Fed decisions (Sep–Dec) | 10.5¢ | – | Dec 9 | $21.2K |
| 25 bps increase | Fed Decision in January? | 31.5¢ | – | Jan 28 | $18.5K |
| 5.4% | How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027? | 63.5¢ | – | Jan 1 | $17.9K |
| 6.0% | How high will US unemployment go in 2026? | 0.3¢ | down 0.1 points this week | Feb 1 | $17.6K |
| No change | Fed Decision in January? | 65.5¢ | up 1 point this week | Jan 28 | $16.7K |
| ↓ 2.5% | What will Fed Rate hit before 2027? | 1.9¢ | up 0.2 points this week | Dec 31 | $15.8K |
| Hike–Pause–Pause | Fed decisions (Sep–Dec) | 21.5¢ | down 2 points this week | Dec 9 | $14.4K |
| 4 (100 bps) | How many Fed rate hikes in 2026? | 0.7¢ | down 0.6 points this week | Dec 31 | $14.0K |
| Hike–Pause–Hike | Fed decisions (Sep–Dec) | 66.5¢ | up 6.5 points this week | Dec 9 | $13.9K |
| ≥ 4.5% | What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? | 11.1¢ | up 0.1 points this week | Jan 1 | $13.2K |
| 5+ (125+ bps) | How many Fed rate hikes in 2026? | 0.4¢ | down 0.3 points this week | Dec 31 | $13.0K |
| Hike–Hike–Pause | Fed decisions (Sep–Dec) | 2.5¢ | down 0.6 points this week | Dec 9 | $10.7K |
| ↑ 5.25% | What will Fed Rate hit before 2027? | 2.1¢ | down 0.5 points this week | Dec 31 | $9.9K |