Market · 2 of 5 outcomes
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 17:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
These 5 outcomes add up to 101.1¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
9 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | No | 48,000 | 85.1¢ | $37.7K | Proven+$9.79 per $100 · 1,188 bets |
| 456ythgbvcadscvb0xeb6f…25f0 | No | 4,192 | 74.9¢ | $3.29K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| HolyMoses70xa4b3…87b8 | No | 4,182 | 82.5¢ | $3.28K | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,831 bets |
| forgetfuldory0xf1e1…6f6f | No | 2,762 | 88.4¢ | $2.17K | New6 settled bets |
| drde0xd0a0…2760 | Yes | 10,000 | 18.0¢ | $2.15K | — |
| gambler9250x76db…6987 | Yes | 8,925 | 20.7¢ | $1.92K | — |