Market · 5 of 5 outcomes
Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:58 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 358 | 99.6¢ | $357 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| HolyMoses70xa4b3…87b8 | Yes | 12,356 | 9.3¢ | $37 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,831 bets |
| IP13800x96e8…d240 | Yes | 10,350 | 0.2¢ | $31 | — |
| Neogenesis0x6012…7cd2 | Yes | 8,418 | 0.5¢ | $25 | — |
| 0x19b8…0c6c | Yes | 1,667 | 0.3¢ | $5 | Losing−$67.93 per $100 · 104 bets |
| vlospa0x5814…cb14 | Yes | 1,440 | 0.7¢ | $4 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.