Market · 5 of 5 outcomes
Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 00:52 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 358 | 99.6¢ | $357 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,989 bets |
| HolyMoses70xa4b3…87b8 | Yes | 12,356 | 9.3¢ | $37 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,841 bets |
| IP13800x96e8…d240 | Yes | 10,350 | 0.2¢ | $31 | — |
| Neogenesis0x6012…7cd2 | Yes | 8,418 | 0.5¢ | $25 | — |
| 0x19b8…0c6c | Yes | 1,667 | 0.3¢ | $5 | Losing−$67.93 per $100 · 104 bets |
| vlospa0x5814…cb14 | Yes | 1,440 | 0.7¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1,402 | 21.1¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.99 per $100 · 66,068 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 1,289 | 12.0¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 1,199 | 4.1¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 1,125 | 16.7¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,906 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 1,103 | 16.7¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,710 bets |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | No | 3 | 99.6¢ | $3 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| BornAgain260x978e…80bc | Yes | 996 | 0.4¢ | $3 | — |
| qcp20xd245…2318 | Yes | 911 | 0.4¢ | $3 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 740 | 7.5¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.50 per $100 · 124,511+ bets · updating |
| 0xe600…a907 | No | 2 | 99.8¢ | $2 | — |
| godson020x3103…ea70 | Yes | 428 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5825…f249 | No | 1 | 100.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x78b3…6dda | No | 1 | 99.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 4-testfollower-hm70xe694…7e7c | Yes | 329 | 8.2¢ | $1 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 323 | 16.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.58 per $100 · 87,572 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 307 | 16.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,047 bets |
| ab54545ba0xd0de…2ef6 | Yes | 250 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| Mustwiner0xf40f…e473 | Yes | 199 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 150 | 13.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| ivanzolo20040x42fa…4c09 | Yes | 150 | 0.5¢ | $0 | New45 settled bets |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 150 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 135 | 23.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| 0xe8c6…f7f6 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 126 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.10 per $100 · 22,268 bets |
| xiaoaojiang0x5195…44eb | Yes | 120 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
| fang19570xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | 80 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | Yes | 75 | 15.8¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,948 bets |
| 0xbeef…620e | Yes | 58 | 9.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | 45 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x56a8…eea2 | Yes | 30 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3653…ef74 | Yes | 25 | 16.7¢ | $0 | — |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 24 | 4.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 20 | 16.7¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,309 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 20 | 11.3¢ | $0 | — |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 15 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| babyalgo0x0a3a…e990 | Yes | 10 | 12.5¢ | $0 | — |
| yes-yes-no0xea91…bea2 | Yes | 10 | 16.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6ffd…cdbc | Yes | 7 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| hdjdjdjhshh0x1d32…0457 | Yes | 5 | 0.9¢ | $0 | — |
| denso0xae48…afbe | Yes | 5 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xbe7d7f7bd98d4a029a9d79f1bfe26d97dabea30xa0ae…4a1e | Yes | 4 | 16.7¢ | $0 | — |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 22,277 bets |
| 70asd0xf8d1…e8f6 | Yes | 0 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 0 | 16.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.91 per $100 · 158,896 bets |
| 0x8704…3b94 | Yes | 0 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.