Market · 3 of 5 outcomes
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 18:02 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 5 outcomes add up to 101.8¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Fed decision · December 2026 · 3 events · $474K in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| chriszyy30x052f…53fb | No | 13,339 | 96.8¢ | $12.9K | Break-even+$0.96 per $100 · 297 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 4,500 | 97.3¢ | $4.37K | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| pray1ng0xd44d…2ba9 | Yes | 82,210 | 1.5¢ | $2.43K | — |
| 0xc8cd…7405 | Yes | 53,215 | 2.2¢ | $1.57K | — |
| bigdickprick0x8735…46e5 | Yes | 40,545 | 3.1¢ | $1.2K | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 1,090 | 98.6¢ | $1.06K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,860 bets |