Market · 2 of 5 outcomes
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 18:55 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 5 outcomes add up to 102.9¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Fed decision · December 2026 · 3 events · $474K in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HolyMoses70xa4b3…87b8 | No | 3,617 | 82.4¢ | $2.84K | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,831 bets |
| art3698640xbc14…ea95 | Yes | 5,796 | 22.9¢ | $1.25K | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| ZD-ELO-M30x421f…0f9f |
| Yes |
| 2,800 |
| 12.5¢ |
| $602 |
| — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 750 | 78.6¢ | $589 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 191,746 bets |
| simpleman0xbe89…b88c | Yes | 2,378 | 21.9¢ | $511 | Proven+$2.51 per $100 · 1,506 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 2,264 | 19.1¢ | $487 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |