Market · 3 of 5 outcomes
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:05 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 5 outcomes add up to 102.9¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Fed decision · December 2026 · 3 events · $474K in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HolyMoses70xa4b3…87b8 | No | 7,908 | 60.2¢ | $7.08K | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,831 bets |
| milkteaboba0xf4c9…f88c | No | 3,795 | 52.9¢ | $3.4K | New |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| deltasniper0x0826…0b32 | No | 2,000 | 78.5¢ | $1.79K | Losing−$1.42 per $100 · 494 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 15,593 | 24.8¢ | $1.64K | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| lihpare0x4fe2…87c5 | No | 1,232 | 76.3¢ | $1.1K | Break-even+$0.59 per $100 · 1,094 bets |
| vlospa0x5814…cb14 | No | 840 | 65.9¢ | $751 | — |