Market · 4 of 5 outcomes
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 17:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 5 outcomes add up to 101.8¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Fed decision · December 2026 · 3 events · $474K in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| huangsheng0xaacd…c1eb | No | 1,476 | 98.1¢ | $1.46K | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 1,476 | 98.7¢ | $1.46K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,860 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a |
| No |
| 1,333 |
| 95.8¢ |
| $1.32K |
| Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,099 bets |
| WhoseHouseRamsHouse0x3825…04e8 | No | 1,198 | 98.3¢ | $1.18K | Losing−$2.94 per $100 · 1,162 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 1,174 | 97.6¢ | $1.16K | Losing−$8.60 per $100 · 29,951+ bets · updating |
| Useerna0x82d9…eaf8 | Yes | 66,381 | 2.3¢ | $797 | New20 settled bets |