Market · 5 of 5 outcomes
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 17:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 5 outcomes add up to 101.8¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 1,461 | 99.6¢ | $1.45K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,860 bets |
| MKSafe0xb416…dd7b | No | 1,000 | 99.4¢ | $994 | New |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 883 | 99.3¢ | $878 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 29,886+ bets · updating |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | No | 700 | 99.4¢ | $695 | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 5,397 bets |
| kod.cip0x92ae…0376 | Yes | 98,600 | 0.6¢ | $641 | — |
| tetrose0x7447…a16d | Yes | 72,929 | 0.4¢ | $474 | Positive+$3.08 per $100 · 771 bets |
Fed decision · December 2026 · 3 events · $474K in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.