Market · 1 of 5 outcomes
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:16 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 5 outcomes add up to 102.9¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| simpleman0xbe89…b88c | Yes | 12,832 | 63.6¢ | $8.53K | Proven+$2.51 per $100 · 1,506 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 8,262 | 32.5¢ | $5.49K | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| puravida0x80a4…22cc | No | 6,000 | 40.5¢ | $2.01K | Proven+$2.23 per $100 · 2,742 bets |
| HolyMoses70xa4b3…87b8 | Yes | 2,948 | 30.1¢ | $1.96K | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,831 bets |
| ZD-ELO-M30x421f…0f9f | Yes | 2,697 | 50.0¢ | $1.79K | — |
| mewmew10xe95e…61f2 | Yes | 2,009 | 52.7¢ | $1.34K | Losing−$1.03 per $100 · 1,290 bets |
Fed decision · December 2026 · 3 events · $474K in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.