Market · 1 of 4 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 15:32 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 6,634 | 46.8¢ | $2.42K | Break-even−$0.12 per $100 · 29,989+ bets · updating |
| shovelingdigging0xe904…2d9f | Yes | 2,818 | 50.6¢ | $1.79K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | 2,416 | 76.8¢ | $1.53K | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| Leclerc040x38cf…d885 | Yes | 2,365 | 77.9¢ | $1.5K | Losing−$4.46 per $100 · 1,422 bets |
| rip0x5950…8c48 | No | 2,687 | 25.8¢ | $981 | Proven+$2.14 per $100 · 647 bets |
| 0x0c88…7c45 | No | 2,102 | 48.8¢ | $767 | — |