Market · 2 of 4 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 17:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 32,930 | 81.9¢ | $19.7K | Break-even−$0.12 per $100 · 29,989+ bets · updating |
| HDGB0x2e3e…abea | Yes | 11,229 | 15.8¢ | $4.51K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 9,140 | 11.2¢ | $3.67K | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 3,277 bets |
| 0x0c88…7c45 | No | 4,739 | 69.1¢ | $2.83K | — |
| shovelingdigging0xe904…2d9f | Yes | 4,141 | 55.6¢ | $1.66K | Proven+$11.66 per $100 · 923 bets |
| AdjunctBias0x27e5…fb20 | No | 2,349 | 93.8¢ | $1.4K | — |