Market · 6 of 7 outcomes
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:16 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | No | 44,502 | 78.0¢ | $43.5K | Proven+$9.79 per $100 · 1,188 bets |
| strategy1.20xc6d0…4bad | No | 11,735 | 41.9¢ | $11.5K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Ahpo0xcdb1…276c | No | 5,522 | 96.8¢ | $5.39K | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 3,433 bets |
| d1k210x71ed…d9eb | No | 4,044 | 94.8¢ | $3.95K | Break-even+$0.67 per $100 · 3,200 bets |
| fed260xaf45…ec7d | No | 3,384 | 38.8¢ | $3.31K | New30 settled bets |
| dave123450xc320…7637 | No | 1,495 | 69.4¢ | $1.46K | — |