Market · 6 of 7 outcomes
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:39 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | No | 44,502 | 78.0¢ | $43.5K | Proven+$9.79 per $100 · 1,188 bets |
| strategy1.20xc6d0…4bad | No | 11,735 | 41.9¢ | $11.5K | New2 settled bets |
| Ahpo0xcdb1…276c | No | 5,522 | 96.8¢ | $5.39K | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 3,433 bets |
| d1k210x71ed…d9eb | No | 4,044 | 94.8¢ | $3.95K | Break-even+$0.67 per $100 · 3,200 bets |
| fed260xaf45…ec7d | No | 3,384 | 38.8¢ | $3.31K | New30 settled bets |
| dave123450xc320…7637 | No | 1,495 | 69.4¢ | $1.46K | — |
| bravelittleguy0x1d66…928f | No | 1,200 | 88.0¢ | $1.17K | Break-even−$0.93 per $100 · 252 bets |
| GoldmanSachs0x71dd…d61c | No | 1,200 | 86.1¢ | $1.17K | Proven+$12.50 per $100 · 534 bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | No | 1,111 | 92.1¢ | $1.09K | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| QMG-MACRO0x4755…4338 | No | 1,080 | 96.8¢ | $1.06K | New99 settled bets |
| Betttttttttnn0x6ca9…3f78 | No | 894 | 93.3¢ | $874 | New7 settled bets |
| Constancefung0x9a5d…4261 | No | 844 | 85.6¢ | $824 | Positive+$1.53 per $100 · 833 bets |
| Debosnys0x7e30…1e50 | No | 822 | 96.5¢ | $803 | Break-even+$0.18 per $100 · 3,054 bets |
| nonkenny900x5cd5…ac33 | No | 734 | 84.0¢ | $717 | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 8,956 bets |
| thanksmom0xc0cd…0aa9 | No | 555 | 93.0¢ | $542 | Break-even+$0.36 per $100 · 117 bets |
| bazzaloing0x29a5…7752 | No | 531 | 96.9¢ | $519 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 508 | 88.6¢ | $496 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| BerkshireHahaway0x7f29…0760 | No | 400 | 92.5¢ | $391 | Break-even−$0.10 per $100 · 1,492 bets |
| coconutsteaksauce0xd04e…41b8 | No | 320 | 93.1¢ | $313 | Losing−$3.48 per $100 · 350 bets |
| maritime63070x5c29…358e | Yes | 13,330 | 5.0¢ | $307 | Losing−$13.57 per $100 · 115 bets |
| uxadoki67690x1eb9…5189 | No | 308 | 97.6¢ | $301 | — |
| Cryp0x3883…6bb0 | No | 300 | 82.7¢ | $293 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 624 bets |
| SaracensCapital20x94da…2bf1 | No | 300 | 77.0¢ | $293 | Losing−$4.10 per $100 · 294 bets |
| iraa30xad60…97f4 | No | 300 | 96.4¢ | $293 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 259 bets |
| anciano0xa8b7…ee3c | No | 211 | 95.6¢ | $206 | Break-even−$0.07 per $100 · 6,243 bets |
| stragsdfasegbaes0x21bc…4681 | No | 200 | 84.7¢ | $195 | — |
| macrobetter0x4392…68d8 | No | 200 | 0.0¢ | $195 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | No | 174 | 10.0¢ | $170 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| ggwellplayista0x35e1…f41d | No | 170 | 83.1¢ | $166 | — |
| NoPeeking0xffd2…d7ae | Yes | 6,210 | 44.5¢ | $143 | Losing−$7.26 per $100 · 1,107 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 144 | 85.4¢ | $141 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| exothetajunkie0x2478…2e62 | No | 136 | 77.0¢ | $133 | — |
| gwenni0xdb54…f008 | No | 130 | 77.9¢ | $127 | — |
| gambler9250x76db…6987 | Yes | 5,182 | 12.1¢ | $119 | — |
| 0xb8ee…9e81 | No | 115 | 44.2¢ | $112 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 19,474 bets |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 100 | 87.6¢ | $98 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 871 bets |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | No | 100 | 92.0¢ | $98 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 3,907 | 3.3¢ | $90 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| 0xe63e…3204 | No | 90 | 72.0¢ | $88 | — |
| uraw0x8a4c…2c4c | Yes | 3,676 | 27.2¢ | $85 | Positive+$9.98 per $100 · 150 bets |
| Degencrew0x5351…c7ed | Yes | 3,640 | 47.9¢ | $84 | — |
| rplc-crpt0x8a52…6a3c | No | 77 | 94.4¢ | $76 | — |
| Bravo4140xcd96…9ee4 | Yes | 3,011 | 25.8¢ | $69 | Proven+$10.64 per $100 · 153 bets |
| CACAOCAPITAL0x77f8…569f | Yes | 3,000 | 20.0¢ | $69 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 2,860 | 9.2¢ | $66 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,254 bets |
| fafafafafafafafsadasdq0xd798…f8bc | Yes | 2,780 | 13.0¢ | $64 | — |
| Copezilla0x9f08…73a8 | Yes | 2,750 | 17.2¢ | $63 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 62 | 73.6¢ | $61 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| robinss0x44be…0557 | No | 61 | 97.2¢ | $60 | — |
| ceewonayewon0xba57…5513 | No | 60 | 85.6¢ | $59 | — |
| ololololololololo0x2c4c…cb39 | Yes | 2,332 | 11.4¢ | $54 | Losing−$8.48 per $100 · 188 bets |
| stellalez1360x3bd1…4e2b | No | 53 | 97.5¢ | $52 | — |
| MtnMark0x70ff…b65f | Yes | 2,201 | 3.6¢ | $51 | Positive+$40.45 per $100 · 239 bets |
| TG12140x83c5…9a7e | No | 51 | 31.4¢ | $50 | — |
| terrytrl1010x6cef…af02 | No | 46 | 33.0¢ | $45 | — |
| schleparevpavel0x5cfb…e04c | No | 43 | 97.5¢ | $42 | — |
| KickstandBot0xca1f…d282 | No | 40 | 86.1¢ | $39 | — |
| 0x4935…dfda | No | 29 | 78.9¢ | $29 | — |
| truthteller0x30e4…5102 | Yes | 1,231 | 5.4¢ | $28 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 3,480 bets |
| Nadmi0xe154…0b7f | Yes | 1,208 | 43.0¢ | $28 | Positive+$11.65 per $100 · 5,809 bets |
| rafb0x99fe…5705 | No | 28 | 93.3¢ | $27 | — |
| Corte0x20eb…87ef | No | 28 | 73.0¢ | $27 | — |
| rsabahor0xfb74…ae29 | No | 27 | 74.5¢ | $27 | — |
| 0xdcdd…73a5 | Yes | 1,146 | 13.7¢ | $26 | Losing−$8.96 per $100 · 599 bets |
| pako0x71ed…d338 | Yes | 1,140 | 24.8¢ | $26 | Proven+$3.00 per $100 · 454 bets |
| JonTay0x2b77…9ec3 | Yes | 1,119 | 3.1¢ | $26 | — |
| chessbot0x1534…044d | No | 26 | 87.0¢ | $25 | — |
| 0xf736…7fa2 | No | 26 | 79.8¢ | $25 | — |
| 0x35e3…3d33 | Yes | 1,053 | 19.8¢ | $24 | — |
| whumpa0xe000…cbb1 | Yes | 1,044 | 44.9¢ | $24 | — |
| hzb88480xdda0…9553 | Yes | 1,001 | 12.8¢ | $23 | — |
| cryptolev0x7ed4…a408 | Yes | 1,000 | 21.0¢ | $23 | — |
| 0x178d…c0f5 | Yes | 932 | 29.7¢ | $21 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 826 | 8.2¢ | $19 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| 0x0cf2…6751 | Yes | 802 | 24.9¢ | $18 | — |
| 0xf014…a7cd | Yes | 770 | 16.6¢ | $18 | — |
| VibeyQuant0x1f85…a51b | Yes | 627 | 63.8¢ | $14 | Proven+$3.12 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| StupidMonkeyyy0x67d6…245e | Yes | 625 | 4.0¢ | $14 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 1,106 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 600 | 5.0¢ | $14 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| TAN450x2568…b5c4 | Yes | 555 | 10.0¢ | $13 | — |
| ANGEY0xc9d9…a2f7 | Yes | 538 | 10.0¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x3283…1da9 | Yes | 500 | 60.0¢ | $12 | Losing−$15.00 per $100 · 109 bets |
| beefyjackk0x6bf7…b7e6 | Yes | 500 | 20.8¢ | $12 | — |
| newnewuser0x1dd1…a156 | Yes | 431 | 7.0¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 737 bets |
| Frings1270x1cd0…4516 | Yes | 403 | 32.5¢ | $9 | — |
| Teixeira100xce3f…67c9 | Yes | 400 | 58.0¢ | $9 | — |
| AndresRdz0x2e57…2deb | Yes | 399 | 37.3¢ | $9 | — |
| imakepollymarkets0xf726…7e8b | Yes | 393 | 24.0¢ | $9 | — |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 389 | 6.0¢ | $9 | Positive+$11.88 per $100 · 5,339 bets |
| GenaTheBondKilIer0xd632…8afb | Yes | 385 | 45.1¢ | $9 | — |
| Leclerc040x38cf…d885 | Yes | 364 | 5.2¢ | $8 | Losing−$4.46 per $100 · 1,422 bets |
| moon-k58-lad0xc800…4117 | Yes | 349 | 22.9¢ | $8 | — |
| Sheppy470xccb0…6b88 | Yes | 326 | 47.2¢ | $7 | — |
| squirtdirty0x2953…2ed5 | Yes | 300 | 23.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x21de…4608 | Yes | 279 | 10.8¢ | $6 | — |
| .heart0x1fcc…701b | Yes | 275 | 20.8¢ | $6 | — |
| rocky420180xeda0…7dff | Yes | 268 | 6.4¢ | $6 | — |
| Touge0x1c44…6c6b | Yes | 266 | 2.9¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xf5a9…61ac | Yes | 265 | 15.0¢ | $6 | — |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | Yes | 261 | 3.6¢ | $6 | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 19,488 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.