Market · 3 of 15 outcomes
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:25 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
3 more outcomes in this event.
These 15 outcomes add up to 103.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| puravida0x80a4…22cc | No | 796 | 61.7¢ | $709 | Proven+$2.23 per $100 · 2,742 bets |
| hippoka0xdd9c…31a0 | Yes | 6,344 | 2.6¢ | $695 | New |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| ratehikes0xa309…4cf2 | Yes | 5,756 | 16.5¢ | $630 | New49 settled bets |
| howesr19700x4097…88f2 | Yes | 2,730 | 2.7¢ | $299 | — |
| 0xebab…cff5 | Yes | 2,000 | 39.5¢ | $219 | — |
| PCMTest0x51b1…7865 | Yes | 1,350 | 2.2¢ | $148 | — |