Market · 11 of 15 outcomes
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 97.2¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 193,297 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 34 | 99.7¢ | $34 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 23 | 95.4¢ | $23 | — |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 5,000 | 0.3¢ | $12 | Positive+$43.18 per $100 · 2,767 bets |
| 125-kooyanisqatsi0x4501…39d7 | Yes | 4,492 | 0.6¢ | $11 | — |
| daniel1221340x09fe…76ee | No | 9 | 95.8¢ | $9 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
3 more outcomes in this event.
These 15 outcomes add up to 101.2¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.