Market · 6 of 15 outcomes
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:21 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
3 more outcomes in this event.
These 15 outcomes add up to 101.1¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | No | 1,500 | 88.0¢ | $1.49K | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| 125-kooyanisqatsi0x4501…39d7 | Yes | 12,831 | 0.6¢ | $51 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 23 | 76.6¢ | $23 | — |
| 0xf85f…9800 | No | 21 | 88.1¢ | $21 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 919 bets |
| LaborCreatesValue0x37d2…7847 | No | 20 | 53.0¢ | $20 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 81.6¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 193,297 bets |