Market · 12 of 15 outcomes
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:59 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| elmawsq20xb3e1…f6de | No | 100 | 99.2¢ | $100 | — |
| joosepyy0xc215…1ac0 | No | 100 | 99.2¢ | $100 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| No |
| 40 |
| 92.2¢ |
| $40 |
| Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,477 bets |
| sasfafsaget320x6996…cf9a | Yes | 12,710 | 0.7¢ | $32 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 901 bets |
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 23 | 86.4¢ | $23 | — |
| Commander0010x9b53…0e70 | No | 11 | 91.0¢ | $11 | — |
3 more outcomes in this event.
These 15 outcomes add up to 101.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.