Market · 8 of 15 outcomes
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:26 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 99.4¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,020 bets |
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 23 | 99.4¢ | $23 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 125-kooyanisqatsi0x4501…39d7 |
| Yes |
| 3,098 |
| 0.5¢ |
| $11 |
| — |
| darik02000x3eb8…7b06 | Yes | 3,000 | 1.8¢ | $11 | — |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 3,000 | 0.3¢ | $10 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
| 0xf52b…bdf5 | Yes | 2,667 | 21.3¢ | $9 | — |
3 more outcomes in this event.