Market · 7 of 15 outcomes
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:59 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x56b9…1853 | No | 61 | 98.3¢ | $61 | — |
| onepapper0xec5e…6ede | No | 51 | 99.7¢ | $51 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 98.3¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,452 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 34 | 99.7¢ | $34 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 23 | 97.5¢ | $23 | — |
| Beerambo0xaa46…733f | Yes | 3,748 | 4.0¢ | $13 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
3 more outcomes in this event.
These 15 outcomes add up to 101.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.