Market · 7 of 15 outcomes
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 00:05 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x56b9…1853 | No | 61 | 98.3¢ | $61 | — |
| onepapper0xec5e…6ede | No | 51 | 99.7¢ | $51 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 98.3¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,656 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 34 | 99.7¢ | $34 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,989 bets |
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 23 | 97.5¢ | $23 | — |
| Beerambo0xaa46…733f | Yes | 3,748 | 4.0¢ | $13 | — |
| xvsp0x20a3…29db | Yes | 3,724 | 1.8¢ | $13 | — |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 3,644 | 0.3¢ | $13 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
| brycesn0x3593…9f34 | No | 10 | 99.6¢ | $10 | — |
| daniel1221340x09fe…76ee | No | 9 | 97.6¢ | $9 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0xbe9d…a829 | Yes | 1,669 | 1.4¢ | $6 | — |
| 125-kooyanisqatsi0x4501…39d7 | Yes | 1,624 | 0.4¢ | $6 | — |
| thegamblor690xe71d…7359 | No | 5 | 99.4¢ | $5 | — |
| 49ddgfd0x9070…e32c | Yes | 1,250 | 0.4¢ | $4 | — |
| acc420200xeab6…d4c6 | Yes | 1,249 | 1.8¢ | $4 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 1,245 | 1.4¢ | $4 | Positive+$12.22 per $100 · 3,936 bets |
| HyperPoor0xe328…9f4a | No | 3 | 97.5¢ | $3 | — |
| ChristineCrawfordw0xcae8…893e | No | 3 | 99.2¢ | $3 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 860 | 1.7¢ | $3 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| 0x85be…fe8b | Yes | 645 | 0.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x000c…bcf3 | Yes | 596 | 1.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.39 per $100 · 409 bets |
| H976W30x41a6…280b | No | 2 | 97.7¢ | $2 | — |
| daDwfz0x042a…a419 | No | 2 | 98.8¢ | $2 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 481 | 2.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 471 | 3.6¢ | $2 | New0 settled bets |
| rated0xa3ad…6866 | No | 1 | 98.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.89 per $100 · 18,156 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 305 | 5.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,445 bets |
| barooo0010xdae3…cf78 | Yes | 296 | 1.7¢ | $1 | — |
| cXMj6AdP0xa446…ed2b | No | 1 | 98.9¢ | $1 | — |
| MaveRickFromUS0x72ed…93d4 | No | 1 | 99.0¢ | $1 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 269 | 6.7¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,309 bets |
| 0x8b22…c81e | Yes | 250 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| vamosgaming0x6cff…a463 | No | 1 | 99.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 207 | 5.3¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.99 per $100 · 66,068 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 170 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| Kooyanisqatsi-100-fed0xd4cd…1841 | Yes | 153 | 0.7¢ | $1 | — |
| products0x8575…87fe | No | 1 | 98.9¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.86 per $100 · 10,069 bets |
| 0x06d8…9446 | Yes | 150 | 1.5¢ | $1 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 107 | 6.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,898 bets |
| pmaker0xe243…79f7 | Yes | 99 | 1.4¢ | $0 | — |
| wozaitaibei0xdad7…005a | Yes | 95 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| wtfsss0x472c…9c3d | Yes | 88 | 2.8¢ | $0 | — |
| EirikL0xb834…7e1d | Yes | 82 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xed88…0dfd | Yes | 81 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | 75 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 75 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| somewhereintime0x31f6…475b | Yes | 75 | 2.7¢ | $0 | — |
| fm140x4b91…982d | Yes | 64 | 1.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 4,018 bets |
| 0xfbf4…4a70 | Yes | 61 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb032…c16c | Yes | 60 | 3.6¢ | $0 | — |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | Yes | 54 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 44,557 bets |
| 471pd0x44ac…dc9e | Yes | 49 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| akunai0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | 48 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.83 per $100 · 9,510 bets |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 45 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| LBZbot20xdb6c…ee14 | Yes | 42 | 1.8¢ | $0 | — |
| ma990x6c37…d40f | Yes | 42 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.97 per $100 · 7,458 bets |
| NoMoreMister0x4df7…522d | Yes | 39 | 7.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 28,074 bets |
| 0x1d36…2a3b | Yes | 38 | 2.6¢ | $0 | — |
| EdwardLewis0xebc0…fa41 | Yes | 32 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.23 per $100 · 28,021 bets |
| Tysha0x9be9…c030 | Yes | 25 | 3.9¢ | $0 | — |
| human.bean0x39fd…849e | Yes | 25 | 3.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8db8…c3f0 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| jeanmermier0x1e63…7267 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x72e0…0b96 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 20 | 3.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| lonelyfighter0x97c6…6587 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | — |
| AIDROPP0x6f2a…9551 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,031 bets |
| i18z0xd49b…bdf9 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | — |
| quiddy0x5562…3b41 | Yes | 14 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| gazzadk19810xda59…30db | Yes | 11 | 1.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd39c…8d35 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xba2c…54d0 | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6a07…2952 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd717…3b85 | Yes | 9 | 6.7¢ | $0 | — |
| animal.bean0x2a25…8055 | Yes | 9 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| 0x227b…76f9 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Laurentdepau0x38ab…ab66 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa158…1c1b | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8220…92a5 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa996…34b5 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xheavy8880xec98…afcd | No | 0 | 97.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.04 per $100 · 17,785 bets |
| 0x01d2…c603 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1a05…3633 | No | 0 | 98.8¢ | $0 | — |
| nhadap0x4232…4159 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| hklcrypt0x7449…c05e | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1e82…af92 | No | 0 | 98.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213213210x98ac…40d9 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | — |
| stupidestmoney0xe5ce…7f3f | No | 0 | 97.7¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.