Market · 2 of 15 outcomes
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 18:44 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ratehikes0xa309…4cf2 | Yes | 4,774 | 18.8¢ | $866 | New49 settled bets |
| CDAP10xe033…40a5 | Yes | 3,785 | 2.9¢ | $687 | New |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| akimbogod0x6056…c27c | Yes | 2,968 | 36.8¢ | $539 | Proven+$8.97 per $100 · 148 bets |
| podairpod0x2ed8…93d4 | Yes | 1,572 | 31.5¢ | $285 | Proven+$6.95 per $100 · 772 bets |
| dgprnta0xf975…4ec2 | Yes | 1,357 | 4.8¢ | $246 | — |
| Deadheadbucky0x68d9…00ed | Yes | 1,064 | 35.8¢ | $193 | — |
3 more outcomes in this event.