Market · 9 of 15 outcomes
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 21:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
3 more outcomes in this event.
These 15 outcomes add up to 101.1¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 23 | 99.6¢ | $23 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 99.6¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,500 bets |
| 125-kooyanisqatsi0x4501…39d7 | Yes | 6,267 | 0.4¢ | $19 | — |
| 0xbe9d…a829 | Yes | 3,222 | 0.7¢ | $10 | — |
| daniel1221340x09fe…76ee | No | 9 | 99.6¢ | $9 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 2,991 | 0.2¢ | $9 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.