Market · 9 of 15 outcomes
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 00:06 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 23 | 99.6¢ | $23 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 99.6¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,656 bets |
| 125-kooyanisqatsi0x4501…39d7 | Yes | 6,267 | 0.4¢ | $19 | — |
| 0xbe9d…a829 | Yes | 3,222 | 0.7¢ | $10 | — |
| daniel1221340x09fe…76ee | No | 9 | 99.6¢ | $9 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 2,991 | 0.2¢ | $9 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
| 0xB16B00B50x8a7b…782f | Yes | 2,169 | 0.2¢ | $7 | — |
| dogmatrader0x44a7…c2e4 | No | 5 | 99.4¢ | $5 | — |
| acc420200xeab6…d4c6 | Yes | 1,249 | 0.8¢ | $4 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 773 | 0.5¢ | $2 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | No | 2 | 99.1¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 44,557 bets |
| 0x85be…fe8b | Yes | 738 | 0.7¢ | $2 | — |
| PolyJaguar0xc18b…3917 | Yes | 494 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$11.33 per $100 · 989 bets |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 471 | 3.6¢ | $1 | New0 settled bets |
| xvsp0x20a3…29db | Yes | 394 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 376 | 6.7¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,309 bets |
| 0x597f…702c | Yes | 371 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 335 | 5.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,445 bets |
| rated0xa3ad…6866 | No | 1 | 99.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.89 per $100 · 18,156 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 319 | 6.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,898 bets |
| vamosgaming0x6cff…a463 | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Denison0x0d5b…75c5 | Yes | 262 | 0.8¢ | $1 | — |
| MHD19970xfad4…a7f1 | Yes | 230 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| pm7777770xaedd…150c | No | 1 | 99.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 207 | 5.3¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.99 per $100 · 66,068 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 200 | 6.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,031 bets |
| Ardtysrt010x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | 200 | 0.5¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.50 per $100 · 6,078 bets |
| 0x4a9b…f0e6 | Yes | 200 | 0.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Tiger880xa802…23df | Yes | 200 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
| EirikL0xb834…7e1d | Yes | 200 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
| ODINDAO0xeae7…67ec | Yes | 167 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Rubic0070x486e…5534 | Yes | 153 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$78.50 per $100 · 822 bets |
| 0x06d8…9446 | Yes | 150 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| tamalaile0x1e69…e777 | Yes | 150 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 147 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| 0xfbf4…4a70 | Yes | 125 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xbbc0…10d2 | Yes | 119 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 100 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| wozaitaibei0xdad7…005a | Yes | 95 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| wtfsss0x472c…9c3d | Yes | 88 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd0e4…7d60 | Yes | 83 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
| web3catworld0xa89d…fb00 | Yes | 81 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| fang19570xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | 80 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | 75 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x85b8…224d | Yes | 69 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8e38…1a4a | Yes | 61 | 1.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb032…c16c | Yes | 60 | 3.6¢ | $0 | — |
| gramirot0xac89…7096 | Yes | 51 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| tiancs0x8301…3bdc | Yes | 50 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 48 | 6.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.69 per $100 · 57,592+ bets · updating |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 45 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| fm140x4b91…982d | Yes | 44 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 4,018 bets |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 40 | 7.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| pestanimal0x7bbf…7ce5 | Yes | 40 | 3.6¢ | $0 | — |
| ShadowH10xd001…6850 | Yes | 40 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| hklcrypt0x7449…c05e | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| products0x8575…87fe | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.86 per $100 · 10,069 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 99.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| EdwardLewis0xebc0…fa41 | Yes | 32 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.23 per $100 · 28,021 bets |
| 0x6a07…2952 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 30 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| human.bean0x39fd…849e | Yes | 30 | 3.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd39c…8d35 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8db8…c3f0 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 99.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,209 bets |
| lonelyfighter0x97c6…6587 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8220…92a5 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9b4b…591c | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| i18z0xd49b…bdf9 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| AIDROPP0x6f2a…9551 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa158…1c1b | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa996…34b5 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd717…3b85 | Yes | 9 | 6.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| jeanmermier0x1e63…7267 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x72e0…0b96 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3317…76b4 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| laudantiumquisquam0x1084…5379 | No | 0 | 99.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Laurentdepau0x38ab…ab66 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1e82…af92 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213213210x98ac…40d9 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| itaqueMinima0xef9c…ddd2 | No | 0 | 99.3¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.