Market · 4 of 15 outcomes
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
3 more outcomes in this event.
These 15 outcomes add up to 101.2¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| newnewuser0x1dd1…a156 | No | 917 | 92.1¢ | $903 | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 737 bets |
| tttt1230xdf40…38b8 | No | 200 | 74.6¢ | $197 | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| DenisBr0xcced…226b | Yes | 11,052 | 25.0¢ | $166 | — |
| 5atka0x1c26…6e31 | No | 156 | 74.0¢ | $154 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 6,495 bets |
| konchelyga0070xe0dc…ca4c | No | 58 | 98.0¢ | $57 | — |
| hippoka0xdd9c…31a0 | Yes | 3,126 | 11.3¢ | $47 | New77 settled bets |