Market · 6 of 15 outcomes
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 00:08 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | No | 1,500 | 88.0¢ | $1.49K | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| 125-kooyanisqatsi0x4501…39d7 | Yes | 12,856 | 0.6¢ | $51 | — |
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 23 | 76.6¢ | $23 | — |
| 0xf85f…9800 | No | 21 | 88.1¢ | $21 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 919 bets |
| LaborCreatesValue0x37d2…7847 | No | 20 | 53.0¢ | $20 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 81.6¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,656 bets |
| 0xa503…1041 | No | 15 | 90.0¢ | $14 | — |
| UssTrippingHigh0x417b…18d3 | No | 10 | 71.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$1.77 per $100 · 2,522 bets |
| AvantPredictibility0x7c0a…364b | Yes | 2,320 | 2.2¢ | $9 | — |
| hippoka0xdd9c…31a0 | Yes | 2,084 | 21.9¢ | $8 | New77 settled bets |
| LA170xf6ea…0a00 | Yes | 1,910 | 1.5¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.74 per $100 · 420 bets |
| jozeslemsek0xd0bf…9f9f | Yes | 1,000 | 0.4¢ | $4 | — |
| habibi00x391e…d00c | No | 4 | 99.8¢ | $4 | — |
| vo2LCcPrd1x8Qa0x4383…170c | No | 3 | 0.0¢ | $3 | New45 settled bets |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 3 | 86.2¢ | $3 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 9,823 bets |
| GamblingEnjoyer0x55d8…0cf5 | Yes | 531 | 7.8¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.93 per $100 · 152 bets |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 471 | 3.6¢ | $2 | New0 settled bets |
| 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | 430 | 0.5¢ | $2 | Positive+$13.28 per $100 · 8,633 bets |
| Red-bluedegen0xd7ba…76ca | Yes | 372 | 13.5¢ | $1 | — |
| JohnJJJ0x78d2…7a2b | No | 1 | 71.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.59 per $100 · 9,894 bets |
| Po1yBot-pifgEowQrG0xb120…2a55 | No | 1 | 87.6¢ | $1 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 264 | 6.7¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,309 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 240 | 7.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,445 bets |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 238 | 3.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$12.22 per $100 · 3,936 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 238 | 0.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,898 bets |
| vamosgaming0x6cff…a463 | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| carpe-noctem0x596a…7a0f | Yes | 213 | 28.1¢ | $1 | — |
| bulbnbob0x77b5…9170 | No | 1 | 83.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 167 | 5.2¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.99 per $100 · 66,068 bets |
| thejustman0xdbc4…966e | Yes | 150 | 1.5¢ | $1 | — |
| roadstar0x0387…62d1 | Yes | 150 | 10.0¢ | $1 | New38 settled bets |
| 0x06d8…9446 | Yes | 150 | 11.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Burge0x1506…ca77 | Yes | 135 | 10.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 128 | 1.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 115 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 103 | 6.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| yunos0x399b…35cd | Yes | 100 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$14.91 per $100 · 370 bets |
| rousseauuu0x47c1…825f | Yes | 100 | 13.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$16.32 per $100 · 485 bets |
| wozaitaibei0xdad7…005a | Yes | 95 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1abc…45e7 | No | 0 | 94.0¢ | $0 | — |
| wtfsss0x472c…9c3d | Yes | 88 | 32.1¢ | $0 | — |
| flykick12600xe757…c161 | Yes | 83 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 83 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| fang19570xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | 80 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | 75 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd717…3b85 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 65 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
| Pahalde0xd678…f49b | Yes | 61 | 1.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb032…c16c | Yes | 60 | 3.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x993f…35cb | No | 0 | 89.0¢ | $0 | — |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | Yes | 50 | 6.8¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,948 bets |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| Razirback0x92c7…c136 | Yes | 48 | 11.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.17 per $100 · 4,966 bets |
| EirikL0xb834…7e1d | Yes | 45 | 2.3¢ | $0 | — |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 45 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| pestanimal0x7bbf…7ce5 | Yes | 41 | 3.6¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 40 | 6.7¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 38 | 6.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,031 bets |
| human.bean0x39fd…849e | Yes | 37 | 3.6¢ | $0 | — |
| quiddy0x5562…3b41 | Yes | 33 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| EdwardLewis0xebc0…fa41 | Yes | 30 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.23 per $100 · 28,021 bets |
| FeiZhong0x8a48…0646 | Yes | 28 | 27.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Tysha0x9be9…c030 | Yes | 25 | 3.9¢ | $0 | — |
| products0x8575…87fe | No | 0 | 90.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.86 per $100 · 10,069 bets |
| lababahan0xbcab…e96e | No | 0 | 99.0¢ | $0 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 20 | 3.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| 0xB16B00B50x8a7b…782f | Yes | 20 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| buur0x94e4…6be5 | Yes | 20 | 28.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Saurix10xbebe…ad8e | Yes | 20 | 25.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PX53000xd6ee…37a2 | No | 0 | 81.6¢ | $0 | — |
| cq-00xfd72…6cc4 | No | 0 | 78.0¢ | $0 | — |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | Yes | 12 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 44,557 bets |
| i18z0xd49b…bdf9 | No | 0 | 92.4¢ | $0 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 0 | 99.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| supermassivemuse0x93a5…d371 | No | 0 | 98.8¢ | $0 | — |
| IrthBirth0xc092…5428 | No | 0 | 88.0¢ | $0 | — |
| shine0xe4cf…78c4 | No | 0 | 65.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213213210x98ac…40d9 | Yes | 0 | 6.4¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.