Market · 2 of 5 outcomes
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 18:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 5 outcomes add up to 101.9¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Fed decision · January 2027 · 2 events · $65.9K in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | No | 8,040 | 70.5¢ | $5.51K | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 1,141 bets |
| CDAP10xe033…40a5 | Yes | 11,109 | 33.4¢ | $3.5K | New |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0xa0f2…1848 | No | 2,993 | 68.0¢ | $2.05K | Losing−$17.24 per $100 · 7,255 bets |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | Yes | 5,150 | 30.2¢ | $1.62K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,099 bets |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | Yes | 4,297 | 39.5¢ | $1.35K | Proven+$2.29 per $100 · 8,096 bets |
| 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | 4,000 | 32.9¢ | $1.26K | Positive+$7.37 per $100 · 1,338 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 1 shares each side · Show
|