Market · 2 of 5 outcomes
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:25 UTC. Not financial advice.
Fed decision · January 2027 · 2 events · $65.9K in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | No | 8,040 | 70.5¢ | $5.51K | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 1,141 bets |
| CDAP10xe033…40a5 | Yes | 11,109 | 33.4¢ | $3.5K | New |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0xa0f2…1848 | No | 2,993 | 68.0¢ | $2.05K | Losing−$17.24 per $100 · 7,255 bets |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | Yes | 5,150 | 30.2¢ | $1.62K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,099 bets |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | Yes | 4,297 | 39.5¢ | $1.35K | Proven+$2.29 per $100 · 8,096 bets |
| 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | 4,000 | 32.9¢ | $1.26K | Positive+$7.37 per $100 · 1,338 bets |
| mohitshah99200x6b2e…b2fa | Yes | 3,345 | 22.4¢ | $1.05K | New52 settled bets |
| melonmanm0x0787…0ca3 | No | 1,502 | 65.0¢ | $1.03K | — |
| whumpa0xe000…cbb1 | No | 1,499 | 57.7¢ | $1.03K | — |
| Gigachain16220x976a…e8ec | Yes | 2,226 | 39.7¢ | $701 | — |
| alpheclabs0xb4d2…ce99 | No | 1,005 | 78.9¢ | $688 | Losing−$1.95 per $100 · 29,999+ bets · updating |
| 12398fg0xd6db…2f0d | Yes | 1,860 | 46.0¢ | $586 | — |
| charlatta0xb7b8…db31 | Yes | 1,568 | 34.8¢ | $494 | Break-even+$0.36 per $100 · 305 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 500 | 66.5¢ | $343 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | Yes | 987 | 45.0¢ | $311 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 21,994 bets |
| rocky420050xd6a8…58fd | No | 378 | 66.0¢ | $259 | Break-even−$0.22 per $100 · 12,889 bets |
| piyasayapici0x69cd…d48d | No | 310 | 75.5¢ | $212 | — |
| BobbyBakedBeans0x8728…0882 | Yes | 634 | 35.0¢ | $200 | — |
| nigiri990xdc41…dd7e | No | 265 | 81.2¢ | $182 | Losing−$2.81 per $100 · 31,789 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 254 | 67.0¢ | $174 | Losing−$1.44 per $100 · 58,479+ bets · updating |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | No | 208 | 67.3¢ | $142 | Positive+$2.90 per $100 · 12,432 bets |
| data-sync0x21ad…10d2 | Yes | 397 | 33.0¢ | $125 | — |
| pp1010x7f33…914e | Yes | 378 | 33.2¢ | $119 | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 2,133 bets |
| 0x1aa1…a37b | Yes | 333 | 31.0¢ | $105 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 324 | 20.0¢ | $102 | Positive+$2.37 per $100 · 57,731+ bets · updating |
| AlAhmeda0x9d73…216b | Yes | 315 | 31.0¢ | $99 | Losing−$1.99 per $100 · 4,949 bets |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 117 | 67.1¢ | $80 | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 19,488 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 114 | 67.8¢ | $78 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | 230 | 20.0¢ | $72 | Break-even+$0.58 per $100 · 30,816+ bets · updating |
| leectram20x0d4f…000e | Yes | 227 | 43.1¢ | $72 | — |
| DanGabriel0x541c…c462 | No | 101 | 68.0¢ | $69 | Losing−$1.15 per $100 · 183 bets |
| gesst0xadaf…f9f2 | No | 100 | 72.0¢ | $69 | Proven+$17.17 per $100 · 566 bets |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | 200 | 34.0¢ | $63 | — |
| 0x344e…019e | Yes | 156 | 33.1¢ | $49 | — |
| aichuangfu0xfdf5…d359 | Yes | 156 | 33.1¢ | $49 | — |
| 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | 150 | 37.2¢ | $47 | — |
| Playpool0xd628…a698 | No | 65 | 77.9¢ | $44 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 60 | 67.1¢ | $41 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,791 bets |
| BrianBorgu0xbd86…1f67 | Yes | 125 | 33.1¢ | $39 | Losing−$1.58 per $100 · 235 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 125 | 26.4¢ | $39 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| puravida0x80a4…22cc | Yes | 118 | 47.1¢ | $37 | Proven+$2.23 per $100 · 2,742 bets |
| 0x250d…6d16 | No | 50 | 70.1¢ | $34 | — |
| Jackkwok0xb91b…8510 | Yes | 104 | 24.9¢ | $33 | — |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | Yes | 100 | 20.0¢ | $32 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 25,840 bets |
| pizdi.bolyu0x27b9…90d0 | Yes | 98 | 24.9¢ | $31 | — |
| fvfvwww0x065d…a672 | Yes | 91 | 22.0¢ | $29 | — |
| 0x71e1…45f0 | No | 38 | 77.9¢ | $26 | Proven+$4.44 per $100 · 735 bets |
| zeitfi-vault-v20x6ae0…b747 | Yes | 82 | 37.2¢ | $26 | — |
| 0xdbae…9720 | No | 33 | 77.9¢ | $23 | — |
| aliiz0xbea0…e19d | No | 32 | 71.1¢ | $22 | — |
| alphainvesting0xbd50…3bb1 | No | 30 | 67.1¢ | $21 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 57 | 20.5¢ | $18 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 50 | 32.0¢ | $16 | Losing−$6.47 per $100 · 30,061+ bets · updating |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 46 | 9.0¢ | $14 | Positive+$7.81 per $100 · 18,732 bets |
| PauloCVSilva0xad42…fe63 | Yes | 43 | 23.9¢ | $14 | — |
| Stany890x303b…676d | Yes | 42 | 24.9¢ | $13 | — |
| kiohssudhhd0xd0a5…3e7f | No | 15 | 65.9¢ | $10 | — |
| NedStark0x659a…9568 | Yes | 30 | 28.0¢ | $9 | — |
| ggmm820x6975…b13b | Yes | 30 | 38.2¢ | $9 | — |
| BoberKurwaYaPerdole0x4618…f25e | Yes | 25 | 28.0¢ | $8 | — |
| DontBeScared50xdf3b…880a | No | 10 | 64.8¢ | $7 | — |
| adsfasdf1130x0dba…2db9 | No | 10 | 67.0¢ | $7 | — |
| asdfll10x601f…bb82 | No | 10 | 67.0¢ | $7 | — |
| Pitch50x2456…1525 | Yes | 21 | 24.9¢ | $7 | — |
| spacexstar0xb06c…b574 | No | 9 | 73.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 614 bets |
| hamid19190x3cbe…2520 | No | 7 | 70.1¢ | $5 | — |
| wert40x46f7…ded2 | No | 7 | 76.9¢ | $4 | — |
| tiredShip0x2aae…a80c | No | 5 | 80.1¢ | $3 | — |
| asdfdd1230x2232…a2c5 | Yes | 10 | 29.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 10 | 37.2¢ | $3 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| 0xa1bd…880b | Yes | 10 | 24.9¢ | $3 | — |
| a-g-e-n-t-s0x9845…bbc2 | No | 4 | 76.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 3 | 70.1¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,860 bets |
| angela9212070xfa06…091c | Yes | 5 | 33.1¢ | $2 | — |
| DFuk0xfc70…69bc | Yes | 4 | 24.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5aa8…5a23 | No | 1 | 73.7¢ | $1 | — |
| bigJilm0x824f…8b56 | Yes | 3 | 35.1¢ | $1 | — |
| trrr120x184b…67b2 | No | 1 | 78.9¢ | $1 | — |
| predictgeek0x21ff…5e2a | No | 1 | 77.9¢ | $1 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 1 | 67.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| b570x4865…904d | No | 1 | 68.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1 | No | 1 | 55.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 1 | 28.0¢ | $0 | — |
| browndust0x13de…fd91 | Yes | 1 | 28.0¢ | $0 | — |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | Yes | 1 | 34.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.12 per $100 · 9,353 bets |
| 0xca75…0a64 | No | 0 | 64.0¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 0 | 77.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 0 | 71.7¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | Yes | 0 | 24.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 0 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| hfv0xe102…71df | No | 0 | 67.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ilovecarrots0x03e1…e180 | No | 0 | 66.0¢ | $0 | — |
| nhadap0x4232…4159 | No | 0 | 80.8¢ | $0 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | No | 0 | 66.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.58 per $100 · 87,117 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 1 shares each side · Show
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