Market · 5 of 5 outcomes
Will four or more people dissent the January Fed decision?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:37 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xdc3E831cad0x5ecd…0787 | No | 1,393 | 86.0¢ | $1.35K | Positive+$2.43 per $100 · 5,618 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 80 | 99.0¢ | $78 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,971 bets |
| AiBird0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | 1,132 | 10.1¢ | $35 | Positive+$3.45 per $100 · 14,377 bets |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 488 | 1.0¢ | $15 | Positive+$11.88 per $100 · 5,339 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 411 | 5.7¢ | $13 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 150 | 6.6¢ | $5 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Fed decision · January 2027 · 2 events · $65.9K in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.