Market · 5 of 5 outcomes
Will four or more people dissent the January Fed decision?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xdc3E831cad0x5ecd…0787 | No | 1,393 | 86.0¢ | $1.35K | Positive+$2.43 per $100 · 5,618 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 80 | 99.0¢ | $77 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,170 bets |
| AiBird0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | 1,132 | 10.1¢ | $36 | Positive+$3.45 per $100 · 14,377 bets |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 488 | 1.0¢ | $16 | Positive+$11.88 per $100 · 5,339 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 411 | 5.7¢ | $13 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 150 | 6.6¢ | $5 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 94 | 1.2¢ | $3 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 93 | 19.3¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 70 | 13.2¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| napamen0x8494…814a | Yes | 50 | 14.6¢ | $2 | — |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | Yes | 40 | 2.4¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 19,488 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 40 | 15.4¢ | $1 | — |
| the-260-Challenge0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | 30 | 14.6¢ | $1 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 22 | 11.9¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 0 | 85.9¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 10 | 1.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| smellyEllie0x38f5…6824 | Yes | 5 | 4.2¢ | $0 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 3,504 bets |
| graynotebook190xcfff…673d | Yes | 1 | 20.5¢ | $0 | — |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 0 | 15.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | Yes | 0 | 8.8¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Fed decision · January 2027 · 3 events · $72.6K in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.