Market · 3 of 9 outcomes
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 9 outcomes add up to 109.7¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HolyMoses70xa4b3…87b8 | No | 1,300 | 80.9¢ | $1.18K | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,831 bets |
| SC2610010xa2c0…cbe8 | No | 183 | 90.5¢ | $166 | — |
| UntitledUser10x43b9…5db9 | No | 117 | 80.2¢ | $106 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 569 bets |
| iuH1398SI0x44b7…2e99 | No | 117 | 80.2¢ | $106 | Losing−$4.93 per $100 · 738 bets |
| 8811120xd426…334a | Yes | 1,005 | 14.5¢ | $96 | Proven+$15.37 per $100 · 1,938 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 70 | 81.4¢ | $63 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Fed decision · January 2027 · 3 events · $72.6K in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.