Market · 1 of 9 outcomes
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:41 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 9 outcomes add up to 109.7¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Fed decision · January 2027 · 3 events · $72.6K in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| browne0xbf96…9942 | Yes | 1,665 | 44.0¢ | $1.04K | Proven+$2.85 per $100 · 304 bets |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | Yes | 1,126 | 49.5¢ | $704 | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 19,488 bets |
| 8811120xd426…334a | Yes | 844 | 19.2¢ | $527 | Proven+$15.37 per $100 · 1,938 bets |
| HolyMoses70xa4b3…87b8 | No | 1,300 | 50.1¢ | $488 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,831 bets |
| 0x22d8…a92b | No | 430 | 48.0¢ | $161 | New70 settled bets |
| UntitledUser10x43b9…5db9 | No | 411 | 56.6¢ | $154 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 569 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.