Market · 7 of 9 outcomes
Will the Fed Hike-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 00:20 UTC. Not financial advice.
Fed decision · January 2027 · 3 events · $72.6K in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
These 9 outcomes add up to 106.0¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 12 | 90.5¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,656 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 155 | 9.2¢ | $6 | Losing−$2.50 per $100 · 124,511+ bets · updating |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 102 | 9.6¢ | $4 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | Yes | 100 | 6.3¢ | $4 | Positive+$7.23 per $100 · 10,676 bets |
| vlospa0x5814…cb14 | Yes | 75 | 11.1¢ | $3 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 0.6¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.